Mellor 3 Ward 4
Well-known member
Understand what you're saying - I think there's lot of 'shy' Republicans, who may not be MAGA cultists, but who ARE American first and they'll take him over the line.
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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*
- Thread starter Zeberdi
- Start date
- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,947
- Thread starter
- #7,442
Stop trolling the thread by repeatedly calling people on this thread bedwetters and trying to be clever. We are acknowledging the tightness of the election like everyone else watching this election, including expert analysts - you seem to be the only person in the world with a glass ball apparently who is predicting the outcome with certainty that Harris will win. Obviously one of the two of them will win and both are running more or less a dead heat in swing states so both have pretty much even odds of winning.
Most of us know enough about the political reality in the States to say the election is too close to call.
So unless you are psychic, you are just guessing.
I was just in the states and was watching something on the election, they suggested there maybe more shy Harris supporters than Trump as they don't want to be seen backing her
Guess we will see! It's all guess work.
In which case you'll be quite happy to admit that Trump is a vile human being, a liar, a criminal, a bore, a misogynistic racist bully who is nasty, stupid and rotten to his core, who likes to target minorities and only operates in crude, cruel, witless insults but none of that matters to you because of this "other" job he's supposedly (but not) doing? I'd have a great deal more respect for that line of thought however hollow that would make your soul.
Hotchilidog
Well-known member
- Jan 24, 2009
- 9,120
I agree with this take also. Definitely laying the ground for a possible how could we lose scenario.
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,274
US contingent election info below (secret? block certification of Harris states won and stop her reaching 270 - then try and send it to Congress to install Trump) that's the plan.
A contingent election, explained - Protect Democracy
A contingent election is what happens if no one wins 270 electoral votes. The House selects a president & the Senate selects a vice president
protectdemocracy.org
seagullsovergrimsby
#cpfctinpotclub
I think it will all depend on Pennsylvania on November 5th , ironically with the Latino vote swinging it for Harris.
5Ways Gull
È quello che è
So genuine question, in the event of the above outcome - in 2020 Trump was the incumbent president. Does the fact that he isn't this time make things more straightforward? Apologies if that's a stupid question, all of my knowledge of the US electoral system comes from watching West Wing.
nwgull
Well-known member
Doesn’t it ultimately require the VP to certify the electoral college votes?
Here is the best way to see which candidate has the best chance at victory in the Electoral College. For the super nerds, the US census is every 10 years and we recalibrate the electoral college votes per state based on population shifts (as well as Congressional seats)… back to the paths to victory for each candidate in 2024
1. Start with the prior presidential race as the baseline- Biden v Trump:
2. Then show the states Harris can afford to lose: Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada (she trails in all 3):
3. Then show how we could end up in a tie - 269 electoral college votes for each:
4. Lastly, add Pennsylvania- the state Harris MUST win- flipping to Trump:
1. Start with the prior presidential race as the baseline- Biden v Trump:
2. Then show the states Harris can afford to lose: Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada (she trails in all 3):
3. Then show how we could end up in a tie - 269 electoral college votes for each:
4. Lastly, add Pennsylvania- the state Harris MUST win- flipping to Trump:
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 16,036
I'm almost past caring who wins at the point and just want the whole thing over and done with - I'm certainly done with the predictions when no-one has a clue who is going to win.
The amount of slagging off - from both sides - is facking tedious (whatever happened to "when they go low, we go high"?). I saw some clips of Walz at a recent rally and about four of them started with "Donald Trump....". Concentrate on your own shit, man!
Meanwhile, Trump continues to trot out any old rubbish that is CLEARLY bullshit, whether it's about the Democrats, immigrants, windmills, schools, crowd sizes or seemingly anything else that grabs his attention.
All this while both candidates are claiming the other one is trying to "destroy democracy" apparently. What a time to be alive. What a ridiculous, embarrassing, drawn-out spectacle to go through.
Twats.
The amount of slagging off - from both sides - is facking tedious (whatever happened to "when they go low, we go high"?). I saw some clips of Walz at a recent rally and about four of them started with "Donald Trump....". Concentrate on your own shit, man!
Meanwhile, Trump continues to trot out any old rubbish that is CLEARLY bullshit, whether it's about the Democrats, immigrants, windmills, schools, crowd sizes or seemingly anything else that grabs his attention.
All this while both candidates are claiming the other one is trying to "destroy democracy" apparently. What a time to be alive. What a ridiculous, embarrassing, drawn-out spectacle to go through.
Twats.
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,274
nwgull
Well-known member
Trump literally did try to destroy democracy throughout the process leading up to Jan 6th.
We can hope the next election has a much higher standard of nominee as well.
Same as the UK really.
The size of Arnold Palmer's cock most notably.
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 16,036
I won't hold my breath!
Crawley Dingo
Political thread tourist.
- Mar 31, 2022
- 1,080
Nope. All media propaganda, lawfare etc.
All media propaganda? He himself is stating he will be a dictator with mass deportations. That's not media spin - that is straight out of his own mouth.
You think this a good idea?