- Oct 20, 2022
- 7,228
I realised I didn’t really answer your question @GingerBeerMan sorry but imo Iran would be a much harder adversary than Iraq for a number of reasons (just a lay person’s opinion!)
Even the war in Iraq took 8 years; cost the US an estimated $3 trillion and caused an estimated 461,000 deaths in Iraq. American forces are still based in Iraq 13 years later - It was a pyrrhic victory and Saddam’s regime was a tough nut.
We learnt a lot of lessons from that war, not least:
Even the war in Iraq took 8 years; cost the US an estimated $3 trillion and caused an estimated 461,000 deaths in Iraq. American forces are still based in Iraq 13 years later - It was a pyrrhic victory and Saddam’s regime was a tough nut.
We learnt a lot of lessons from that war, not least:
- that you need an exit strategy before you commit,
- you need to be sure of your intelligence, and have clear objectives.
- you need a concensus of opinion and most of all
- leave the world more stable than it was before you went in.
- It was a very broad international coalition against terror that was fighting the Ba’ath Party and Saddam‘s Republican Guard
- the allied troops were able to launch an invasion from Kuwait - I doubt Iraq would be willing for Israel and western allies to launch an attack from Iraq on Iran.
- Iran is also like Afghanistan very mountainous
- at the first sign of attack, Israel would be fighting an onslaught of very well armed militia groups with an impressive missile arsenal on 3 fronts - Yemen, Lebanon, Syria ( and possibly Hamas in Gaza still) as well as Iran.
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