Will 4 points really be enough?

[Bald Gull]

I see MM has again quoted that he believes 4 points will be enough to stay up - and possibly 3...

Does anyone else think this will be enough? I really hope so but given our goal difference, I think we need at least 50 points - possibly 51.

If Watford lose at Rotherham on Saturday and we get a result - maybe he's right but, if not, I just can't see it.

 

[kalinski]

go to the Ipswich league calculator, i made us lose all our remaining games and we only just go down. so i think MM is right

 

[blueandwhitearmy]

It's possible but we've still got a job on our hands to get the four points and really we could do with 6 to be safe. Remember as it stands we are in the relegation zone so we have got to pick up as many points as possible so it doesn't come to relying on Watford or Crewe losing.

 

[Seagull Stew]

I hate points targets I really do. I seem to remember we lost all those matches just after MM gave the target of 50 points!
So, never mind "We need four more points to stay up", what we need is 1 more point than the Third bottom team.
End of!

 

[Easy 10]

what we need is 1 more point than the Third bottom team.
End of!

EXACTLY.
Obviously we'd prefer not to have to rely on other teams screwing up to keep us in this division, but the reality is that it's exactly that that could keep us up.

Going on current form, its a straight shootout between us, Watford and Crewe to see who can get the most points from the last 4 games, and I reckon we are well capable of overhauling Watford. Their run-in is:

Rotherham (a)
Sheff U (h)
Stoke (a)
West Ham (h)

So two fixtures the same as ours - lets just make sure we do a little bit better than Watford in those remaining games. Thats all we have to do.

 

[kalinski]

EXACTLY.
Obviously we'd prefer not to have to rely on other teams screwing up to keep us in this division, but the reality is that it's exactly that that could keep us up.

Going on current form, its a straight shootout between us, Watford and Crewe to see who can get the most points from the last 4 games, and I reckon we are well capable of overhauling Watford. Their run-in is:

Rotherham (a)
Sheff U (h)
Stoke (a)
West Ham (h)

So two fixtures the same as ours - lets just make sure we do a little bit better than Watford in those remaining games. Thats all we have to do.

the problem with that is Stoke who will lose to Watford

 

[Parson Henry]

Maybe we should adopt the well worn cliche (ay) of taking one game at a time.

The way these end of season runins work is that the whole gameplan chnages after each set of games.

We could be withina few points of the play-offs and be talking about stregnthening the squad for a promotion push next season.

We could also indulge in discussing the best sticky cake to hurl (fling) at opposing managers who have crossed us in the past.

 

[Easy 10]

the problem with that is Stoke who will lose to Watford

But that will be nullified by our win over West Ham.

 

[Parson Henry]

Which could be negated by our defeat at Roverr 'um

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Lose on sat i think it could be over

 

[Parson Henry]

Spurs or Brighton?

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Ha ha

Brighton

depending on other results if Watford and Crewe win the gap is 4 points if you take goal difference into mind

 

[perseus]

If we win against Rotherham 25-0 or so and draw the other game, it should be enough to stay up (if Watford only draw at Rotherham).

Seriously, I think we need 50 points before the last game.

So that is a win and two draws.

 

[Marshy]

2 wins will be plenty

 

[Easy 10]

Told you you'd be BACK, marshy

 

[tinx]

I think 5 points is the goal realistically, but it'll all change after this saturday depending on results.

 

[Napper]

don't understand how 4 pts will be enough if he expects Watford to win at Rotherham ?

 

[Braders]

Lose on sat i think it could be over

even a draw on saturday won't be enough i reckon

doubt we'll get anything against West Ham or Ipswich.

 

[Scoffers]

Whatever points you think we need, add 1 for the goal difference

 

[lincs seagull]

Watford have two winable games there but they are both away from home so a major turn in form is needed

Really no different to us two winnerable games but both away.

Crewe have an even tougher run in

Gills A
stoke H
Ipswich A
Coventry H

I cant see them getting more than a point from those games