So we finish below Wolves with the same number of points and a better GD? Interesting ............
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[Albion] To Avoid Potter Bashing - Staying Up Tracker - 2020/21 - Game 38 Update - 1 OVER
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
So we finish below Wolves with the same number of points and a better GD? Interesting ............
I'm in the same boat. If you assume we keep our GD advantage, then a team below us would need to get to 36 points. This implies
(a) Fulham need 22 more points at an average of 1.22 pts/game (eg: 5 wins, 7 draws, 6 defeats) [They need to perform like Palace have, season to date - in points terms, anyway!]
(b) West Brom need 24 more points at an avge of 1.4/game (eg: 6 wins, 6 draws, 5 defeats) [They need to perform like Southampton have]
(c) Sheff Utd need 28 more points at an avge of 1.65/game (eg: 7 wins, 7 draws, 3 defeats) [They need to perform like Villa have]
Even with Big Sam's fabled skills (!), I can't see West Brom performing like Southampton have. Sheff Utd's task is a virtual impossibility. Fulham COULD conceivably put together enough to scrape 5 wins....but given they haven't won in the league since November, that's not going to be easy.
This. If [MENTION=3734]Giraffe[/MENTION] were to redo the remaining games expected points based on the current table, I think it shows our run in from here on in is harder than it was at the start of the season. If we get 36 and stay up, I'm happy. 40+ and it will be a success, even if we don't get above 15th.
Well? Come ON.
With a pile of tracker points required in the next few games, good to get ahead of the curve.
holla
Thompson720
Well-known member
I mean, look at the state of it, look at the gap, my word, beauty.
mashman156
Well-known member
4 weeks ago 60% were wanting Potter out now we've got talk of a 6 game winning run and 8 unbeaten. Love the optimism, long may it last!!
Slowly catching up...
Uh_huh_him
Well-known member
- Sep 28, 2011
- 11,657
Thank you [MENTION=3734]Giraffe[/MENTION]
This thread has kept me sane all season.
I knew we were miles better than our results.
When the mob were screaming about no home wins in 21 and sleepwalking into the championship, I could always point to the fact that we were never more than a handful of points off par.
And with a bit of luck (or changing keeper as it turned out) the good days would be back again.
Well the good days are here now.
Peace and Goodwill abounds, be you licker or wetter, rejoice!
And Trust in the tracker..
This thread has kept me sane all season.
I knew we were miles better than our results.
When the mob were screaming about no home wins in 21 and sleepwalking into the championship, I could always point to the fact that we were never more than a handful of points off par.
And with a bit of luck (or changing keeper as it turned out) the good days would be back again.
Well the good days are here now.
Peace and Goodwill abounds, be you licker or wetter, rejoice!
And Trust in the tracker..
To Avoid Potter Bashing - Staying Up Tracker - 2020/21 - Game 21 Update - 5 (FIVE) OVER
Perfectly said friend, exactly my thoughts.
I always kept the faith. I got tired saying it here “keep the faith”. We have a special owner, and now have a very special manager. We are going places with this guy.
Shame on those who were knee jerk and only looking at short term results. The abuse in match day threads was sickening. The long term trend improvements have always Bremen there for all to see.
Perfectly said friend, exactly my thoughts.
I always kept the faith. I got tired saying it here “keep the faith”. We have a special owner, and now have a very special manager. We are going places with this guy.
Shame on those who were knee jerk and only looking at short term results. The abuse in match day threads was sickening. The long term trend improvements have always Bremen there for all to see.
banjo
GOSBTS
Now then - you're the keeper of all this data - have we been +5 before??
Thompson720
Well-known member
Well said!
Easily my favourite thread on here, keeps you grounded but also gives you hope and belief that we're never far from the target
brighton_tom
Well-known member
- Jul 23, 2008
- 5,385
For Fulham to get 40 points they'd need another 26 from their remaining 17 games, so that's the equivalent of 8/9 more wins. Highly doubt that's going to happen. So realistically 35 points keeps you up this year. We could be safe by mid March.
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 15,659
Simon Jordan was saying a similar thing about Sheff U yesterday. They'd basically need to maintain 'Top 6' level form until the end of the season.