The next 3 games....

[Brian Fantana]

Personally, I would be very happy with a point at Blackpool and win against Derby from the next two games. Forest away is a tricky prospect, as they appear to have found a teeny bit of form. However, if the Dagger is fit to play a part in all three then anything is possible.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Realistically we cannot afford to lose any one of the last 10 games , have to win against Middlesbrough , West Ham and Reading. The bonus would be Southampton going through a bad patch.

 

[Chris001]

Realistically we cannot afford to lose any one of the last 10 games , have to win against Middlesbrough , West Ham and Reading. The bonus would be Southampton going through a bad patch.

We can afford to lose 4 from our last 10, if we win the other 6 we'll have 76 points and will be in the play off's. (the average points for 6th place last three seasons is 73 points).

 

[sparkie]

if we win the next 3 games we will even look towards an auto!!!

i think a draw saturday would be a massive result.

team selection is crucial.

Think we need to win all 10 for automatic promotion - even then, will 88 points be enough?

 

[Rugrat]

Think we need to win all 10 for automatic promotion - even then, will 88 points be enough?

No doubt .. would put a large sum of money on it ... reckon anything over 80 will be in with a shout

 

[Bean]

Really highlights the importance of saturday's game.

 

[Chris001]

Think we need to win all 10 for automatic promotion - even then, will 88 points be enough?

2nd place average points last three seasons is 86 points. (1st is 93 points)

 

[Chris001]

My prediction for the run in looks like this:
Home W3,D1,L1
Away W1,D2,L2
Total points 73
Is that enough? It'll be very close and could come down to goal difference.

 

[Rugrat]

My prediction for the run in looks like this:
Home W3,D1,L1
Away W1,D2,L2
Total points 73
Is that enough? It'll be very close and could come down to goal difference.

I don't think 73 will quite do it and put the line around 75/76. We've heard all season how "anyone can beat anyone" and I think that's going to lead to a very compressed top 7, 8 or 9 ... nobody making any great breakaway so the auto spots will be less than in recent times and I also think that it will come down to GD.

One of the problems of looking at recent trends is that teams come out of good and bad runs ... you could argue that Cardiff, Brum, Blackpool are going to fall out of it but they might chose their next game to end the bad run and go on the assault, similarly was the Reading draw the beginning of the end of a good run or just a minor blip?

Anyway I reckon low 80's for auto ... mid 70's for play offs and we're right in the mix and will be regardless of what happens on Saturday

 

[DTES]

We can afford to lose 4 from our last 10, if we win the other 6 we'll have 76 points and will be in the play off's. (the average points for 6th place last three seasons is 73 points).

If three of those four defeats are against Blackpool, Birmingham and Middlesbrough then I suspect there will be at least 6 teams finishing with more than 76 points. I see where you're coming from, but I really don't think applying it this late in the season is reliable enough for us to be comfortable losing 40% of our remaining games.

 

[kingcole]

It really depends on other results. This time yesterday I was thinking 78 points might be the finish line. Now I think it's 76. Remember, we only need one more point (or same and better goal difference) than 7th.

 

[Chris001]

If three of those four defeats are against Blackpool, Birmingham and Middlesbrough then I suspect there will be at least 6 teams finishing with more than 76 points. I see where you're coming from, but I really don't think applying it this late in the season is reliable enough for us to be comfortable losing 40% of our remaining games.

I think in summary what we are all saying is it's going to be very close. It's been a brilliant season whatever the final outcome, be even happier if we take it to the last game at Barnsley.

 

[BHA Swiifty]

Aslong as it's in our hand's when we go to Barsnley

 

[Chris001]

Aslong as it's in our hand's when we go to Barsnley

If that's the case we will take loads, fancy dress anyone?

 

[simmo]

Realistically we cannot afford to lose any one of the last 10 games , have to win against Middlesbrough , West Ham and Reading. The bonus would be Southampton going through a bad patch.

If that all happens we will probably go up automatically.

Realistically, 75 points I think will be more than enough for the play-offs. 17 more points, maybe less if we don't lose any 6 pointers to other play off rivals.

 

[BHA Swiifty]

If that's the case we will take loads, fancy dress anyone?

Only got a pig's masked