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[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread



Postman Pat

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
6,972
Coldean
The Moderna vaccine will be in deployment "around the third week of April", vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi has confirmed.

"It will be in deployment around the third week of April in the NHS and we will get more volume in May as well," he told BBC Breakfast.

"And of course more volume of Pfizer and Oxford/AstraZeneca and we have got other vaccines. We have got the Janssen - Johnson and Johnson - vaccine coming through as well.

"So I am confident that we will be able to meet our target of mid-April offering the vaccine to all over-50s and then end of July offering the vaccine to all adults."

Nicola Sturgeon said that the first batch of the Moderna vaccine has "arrived safely in Scotland" according to the BBC.
 






LamieRobertson

Not awoke
Feb 3, 2008
47,871
SHOREHAM BY SEA
NHS England has just reported:

- 0 Covid-19 hospital deaths in London, East of England and the South West.

- just 2 deaths in people aged 80+ in all of England


https://twitter.com/coronavirusgoo1/status/1379442476000411652?s=21


***usual caveats of bank holidays...but even so ..looks good

Then we have this

NHS England reports a further 12 COVID-19 hospital deaths occurring over 6 dates.

40 were reported last Tuesday, 98 two weeks ago & 101 three weeks ago.

https://twitter.com/ukcovid19stats/status/1379439818791395333?s=21
 
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A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
19,954
Deepest, darkest Sussex
There must be a chance at some point soon we might hit a Zero death day across the UK with the way things are going?
 


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
54,726
Burgess Hill
Daily numbers, yet again remarkable rolling 7-day falls in infections and deaths :

Infections - 2,379, rolling 7 day down 35.7%
Deaths - 20, rolling 7 day down 45.2%
Admissions - 248, rolling 7 day down 23.6%
Jabs - 40k 1st and 64k 2nd (cumulative 31.6m and 5.5m)
In hospital - 3,536 (not updated)
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
19,954
Deepest, darkest Sussex
[tweet]1379415159723163648[/tweet]
 


Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
67,554
Withdean area
Do you not get told the former WSHT ones as well now seeing as you are one big trust? :wink:

I have family working in that trust. They’re given the COVID data on a weekly basis.

Here’s the most recent, available online.

40C7E2E1-7014-48B0-BA20-0A18B9B8D64C.png
 






nickbrighton

Well-known member
Feb 19, 2016
2,062
First UK Moderna jabs given in Wales
Covid-19 vaccine vials
Getty ImagesCopyright: Getty Images
The first doses of a third Covid-19 vaccine in the UK are being rolled out, with patients in Camarthenshire, Wales, being the first to benefit from the Moderna jab.

It was approved as safe and effective for use in the UK in January.

There is no firm indication of when the rest of the UK will start using the jab but Nicola Sturgeon has said Scotland has received its first doses.

The UK has 17 million doses of the Moderna vaccine on order.

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A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
19,954
Deepest, darkest Sussex


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
54,726
Burgess Hill
Numbers.....key trends maintained :

Infections- 2,763, rolling 7 day down 36.3%
Deaths - 45, rolling 7 day down 35.5%
Admissions - 256, rolling 7 day down 25.3%
Jabs - 85k 1st and 186k 2nd, cumulative 31.7m & 5.7m
In hospital- 3,536 (not updated)
 




dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
54,726
Burgess Hill
Important milestone :

Britain will pass the threshold for herd immunity on Monday, according to dynamic modelling by University College London (UCL), placing more pressure on the Government to move faster in releasing restrictions.

According to the UCL results, published this week, the number of people who have protection against the virus either through vaccination or previous infection will hit 73.4 per cent on April 12 – enough to tip the country into herd immunity.

The number is in stark contrast to the modelling released by Imperial College this week, which suggested there was just 34 per cent protection by the end of March.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/20...ll-pass-covid-herd-immunity-threshold-monday/
 


Seasidesage

New member
May 19, 2009
4,467
Brighton, United Kingdom
Important milestone :

Britain will pass the threshold for herd immunity on Monday, according to dynamic modelling by University College London (UCL), placing more pressure on the Government to move faster in releasing restrictions.

According to the UCL results, published this week, the number of people who have protection against the virus either through vaccination or previous infection will hit 73.4 per cent on April 12 – enough to tip the country into herd immunity.

The number is in stark contrast to the modelling released by Imperial College this week, which suggested there was just 34 per cent protection by the end of March.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/20...ll-pass-covid-herd-immunity-threshold-monday/

Unless I've misunderstood this (always possible) someone's numbers are incorrect here? Is there a third model that offers a steer? No way the numbers have increased by that magnitude in a week? Someone's model must be flawed or worse still both are? If we have reached herd immunity then we really are in sight of the end of this...
 


blue-shifted

Banned
Feb 20, 2004
7,645
a galaxy far far away
Unless I've misunderstood this (always possible) someone's numbers are incorrect here? Is there a third model that offers a steer? No way the numbers have increased by that magnitude in a week? Someone's model must be flawed or worse still both are? If we have reached herd immunity then we really are in sight of the end of this...

Yeh, I'd say, that in anything like this, there are some pretty uncertain assumptions. Not least the R rate of the Kent variant with no lockdown restrictions. The good news is that we are there or starting to get there. We won't be able to say definitively, not from the modelling anyway.
 




dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
54,726
Burgess Hill
Yeh, I'd say, that in anything like this, there are some pretty uncertain assumptions. Not least the R rate of the Kent variant with no lockdown restrictions. The good news is that we are there or starting to get there. We won't be able to say definitively, not from the modelling anyway.

Agreed.....posted here on the basis that it was another milestone pointing towards the exit. Also posted on the main Covid thread for any debate to continue.:)
 


nickbrighton

Well-known member
Feb 19, 2016
2,062
Despite "Herd Immunity" being a dirty phrase to some a year ago, it is the holy grail in terms of getting out of this situation. With over 60% of the adult population vaccinated ,and with the millions who now have natural immunity, despite the conflicting figures mentioned we are fast approaching that point .This has to be viewed as possibly the best news of all as it means those who are unable to be vaccinated will have the protection that it provides and make all the lockdowns and associated financial costs more than worth it.

The fact that the question is now "When" and not "If" herd immunity is reached is a phenomenal achievement, and good news in itself
 


pb21

Well-known member
Apr 23, 2010
6,610
Unless I've misunderstood this (always possible) someone's numbers are incorrect here? Is there a third model that offers a steer? No way the numbers have increased by that magnitude in a week? Someone's model must be flawed or worse still both are? If we have reached herd immunity then we really are in sight of the end of this...

Could be that the Imperial study only considers people vaccinated after receiving both doses.
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
32,292
Brighton
Despite "Herd Immunity" being a dirty phrase to some a year ago, it is the holy grail in terms of getting out of this situation. With over 60% of the adult population vaccinated ,and with the millions who now have natural immunity, despite the conflicting figures mentioned we are fast approaching that point .This has to be viewed as possibly the best news of all as it means those who are unable to be vaccinated will have the protection that it provides and make all the lockdowns and associated financial costs more than worth it.

The fact that the question is now "When" and not "If" herd immunity is reached is a phenomenal achievement, and good news in itself

This. For this thread, it's not really about whether the Imperial College modelling is exactly right or not. It's the fact that we are the point where Herd Immunity is a genuine possibility-to-probability in the very near future.

Some trails from COVID may stay with us for a while, but we are now getting towards the point where we can start to say with *some* certainty that the worst of it is very likely to be over in the UK. That's worth celebrating.
 




southstandandy

WEST STAND ANDY
Jul 9, 2003
5,957
My elderly father had his 2nd jab yesterday only 8 weeks after his first - pretty efficient. Thanks to the nurse who visited him in his bungalow (as he is housebound). They are doing a great job in my opinion.
 




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