Snowing here in North Wales.
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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
But with respect you are just giving us a current situation which hasnt really got much to do with future weather, I happen to agree with you but moreso because of the projected set up rather than tonights temps., but if someone says snow Monday and you say it actually isnt cold enough now Wednesday evening, it kinda doesnt really make sense ......
MF'84
A load of Bolanos
Bit of snow here in South Derbyshire this morning.
Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
All indicators are for more mild and rainy weather again from the middle of next week
Hurrah!
As disappointing and frustrating as our current run of results!
Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
A few cold nights with frost but some lovely crisp sunny days so enjoy it. This will be our winter
You may well be right US, but you cannot possibly know what the whole of January may deliver and certainly not February, unless you wish to enlighten us
You may well be right US, but you cannot possibly know what the whole of January may deliver and certainly not February, unless you wish to enlighten us
Can't 'know', but long-range and jetstream forecasts all point clearly to a strong west/south-west air-flow from mid-Atlantic re-establishing itself from middle of next week onwards, which means a reversion back to mainly mild, often wet and sometimes windy weather well into February.
Yes this is reflected in the longer range model output commonly known as Fantasy Island predictions, it may well be the outcome but we cannot be sure, thats all.
US has decided to quote middle of next week to get his hit of 'mild melancholy' whilst totally ignoring the period up to that point which although not exceptionally cold, it is certainly average or below yet this has been overlooked.
We are a little island on the edge of the Atlantic with north Atlantic drift lapping our shores, its a struggle to get the cold weather many of us hope for our default position is generally mild westerlies, its a loaded dice.
So a representation of mild weather weeks away is always likely to be a winner, but we cannot be sure that February will offer no cold, we just cant.
Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
If you look back at this winter I have been on the money every time, in fact I predicted this colder weather first about 2 weeks ago
- Jul 10, 2003
- 27,346
Bevendean Hillbilly
New member
Even a broken clock will tell the right time twice a day. Now, if you'd done something outstanding like warn the world that the sub prime mortgage bubble would pop on Wall Street showering us all in shit...now that would be fabulous. I'd Deffo listen to your racing tips then.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Still looking possible to get snow on Monday
Bevendean Hillbilly
New member
Still looking possible to get snow on Monday
Papa hath spoken. All hail Papa.
Flex Your Head
Well-known member
Well, given that 95% of our weather is mild-westerlies from the Atlantic, US will be right more than twice a day. It's very much the safe option.
Ah come on US you were bemoaning 8c on Monday inferring it was a week long temperature even though I mentioned there is some colder weather forecast Wednesday onwards of this week, we had a chat about it.
My main point is, if your default position is forecasting mild weather well thats what we generally get anyway, the clever guys are those that foresee perhaps a colder pattern emerge, I would just think it be a wee bit more helpful if you added some science or at least some reasoning to your assumptions, maybe we can all learn something.
Flex Your Head
Well-known member
Really? How about this from just 2 days ago?
"7 c today 8 c tomorrow and then 6 c for 3 days, mild westerlies will arrive by Sunday and back to 12 c"
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
It's the Piers Corbyn school of weather forecasting.
Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
On the money so far