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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]



Vegas Seagull

New member
Jul 10, 2009
7,782
Two missing off Brighton Beach after 4 guys went for a swim in force 8/9 seas @ 1am. The seas were already massive & totally unswimmable in daylight & wind is now higher
 










Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
26,946
I'm writing this winter off now. Boooooooooo.
 








Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,187
Worthing
This week is a real challenge to forecast. We're in a cold zonal pattern, with low upper temperatures, so despite a mainly Wly flow (NW at times) there are chances for snow UK wide. Mainly to the North and West, but at times even down here.

For example, this is the Met Office Fax Chart for Friday, and it's full of potential.

brack4.gif
 












Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,187
Worthing
Midweek might see snow in places from an unusually cold Westerly. West Country and Midlands might see some.

15011406_1206.gif
 


chucky1973

New member
Nov 3, 2010
8,829
Crawley
Just my luck, I go away Friday to a resort in the Alps where it rained all day Saturday and didnt get the forecast 40cms yesterday and it will hammer down here whilst I am away!
 


Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,034
Lancing
In this absolute wash out of winters people are really clutching at straws now with daytime max's of 6-7C being considered a " cold snap ". We may get a bit of sleet on the very top of Ditching Beacon but that is it. The wind will just not cease coming from the SW/W all winter
 




Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,034
Lancing
Monday 26 January—Sunday 8 February

Will a new month bring any change?

At the time of writing, the latest long range weather forecasting tools suggest that the seemingly endlessly repeating pattern of Atlantic low-pressure systems bringing spells of wet and windy weather, followed by brief incursions of cold air from the west or northwest will continue well into next month. Very few of the computer models that we use to forecast the weather this far ahead suggest any sign at all of any lengthy, settled spells.
 






chucky1973

New member
Nov 3, 2010
8,829
Crawley
An update from Gatwick's weather man this morning:

All

Please below Forecast from Gatwick Met Forecaster





Good morning,



Please find below an update to the Adverse Weather Outlook produced yesterday morning. The next routine outlook will be issued on Thursday morning for the coming weekend.



Adverse Weather Outlook Update – Tuesday 13th January to Friday 16th January 2015



Snow and Frost Weather State: 1 ( Met office forecast snow in next 7 days but not expected to accumulate. No disruption to the Airside Operation )

Isolated wintry showers (snow or rain/snow mixed) are forecast Tuesday night (tonight), although any snow accumulation is currently expected not to be significant. The most likely time for wintry showers to affect Gatwick is after midnight until dawn on Wednesday. Any showers that do fall will present a likelihood of icy surfaces forming as ground and airframe temperatures fall to or just below freezing on Wednesday morning. A Prelim Snow Warning has been issued for the overnight period.




Airside Resource X6 Controllers X6 Support Team X4 AFS from Duty team if required

X10 Polar Bears called in to support Anti Icing Operations.

TE called in to Support Vehicles for Anti Icing Operations



A second cold night is expected on Thursday night with isolated showers again possible, although these are likely to be mainly of rain. However, this again presents a risk of icy surfaces developing as ground and airframe temperatures fall close to or just below freezing for Friday morning.



Flood Weather State: 1( Met office forecast high rainfall ( > 5mm / hr ) in the next 3 days, but not expected to impact Airside Operations )

On Wednesday night, a further 15-25mm of rainfall is expected. The Mole is expected to be more responsive due to earlier rain and a Flood Alert has been issued by the Environment Agency on Monday evening. The river level is expected to peak on Thursday morning as the river responds to overnight rainfall.



Wind Weather State: 2B ( Met office forecast strong winds in next 24 hrs ( 15-25 knts ) gusting ( 20-27 knts) Expected to impact Airside Operations )

Overnight strong winds will generally ease through early morning, although a band of showers are expected to cross Gatwick through early Tuesday afternoon and gusts of 25 KT are possible (low risk of isolated gusts to 30 KT).



A spell of windy weather is expected on Wednesday night into Thursday. South-southwesterly winds are likely to strengthen to mean speeds of 25-35 KT with gusts of 45-55 KT (low risk of isolated gusts to 60 KT). The wind direction presents the risk of a significant crosswind component, particularly during late evening Wednesday through the early hours of Thursday morning. There remains some uncertainty in the exact track and depth of the associated area of low pressure, but there is increasing confidence of the crosswind component exceeding 30 KT in gusts after 2200 Wednesday. Winds are expected to ease for the first wave on Thursday morning.



Low Visibility

Not expected, although visibilities may temporarily fall close to LVP criteria in any snow showers that occur on Tuesday night.



For further information or updates, please contact the in-house Met Office meteorologist on ext 8514 or email metofficegatwick@metoffice.gov.uk
 




Napper

Well-known member
Jul 9, 2003
24,327
Sussex

so is it going to be cold / snow on the coast ?

and whats it saying a spell of windy weather expected. Its been full on windy for months
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,187
Worthing

so is it going to be cold / snow on the coast ?

and whats it saying a spell of windy weather expected. Its been full on windy for months

No snow here from this feature - we're in the slightly warmer air. Wales / West Country / Midlands / Thames Valley will get some (plus the usual places further North)
 


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