Many point to [MENTION=3734]Giraffe[/MENTION] 's tracker as a reliable guide to avoid bed wetting and, indeed, it has been so in the past.
However, there clearly is a lot of worry around at the moment, so why?
Let's take the same premise that you need 40 points. That means we need 27 points from 22 games. About 1.2 points a game.
This neatly breaks down as follows (allowing for between 13 and 7 defeats).
9 wins (13 defeats)
8 wins 3 draws
7 wins 6 draws
6 wins 9 draws (7 losses)
So, for all those positive happy clappers, which of those permutations looks the most likely? And, in which games do you see those points being achieved.
Before you ask me, I already think it's unachievable.
Not trying to bin off the normal tracker but this could be an interesting thread to bounce at the end of the season if people are prepared to put their heads above the parapet.
However, there clearly is a lot of worry around at the moment, so why?
Let's take the same premise that you need 40 points. That means we need 27 points from 22 games. About 1.2 points a game.
This neatly breaks down as follows (allowing for between 13 and 7 defeats).
9 wins (13 defeats)
8 wins 3 draws
7 wins 6 draws
6 wins 9 draws (7 losses)
So, for all those positive happy clappers, which of those permutations looks the most likely? And, in which games do you see those points being achieved.
Before you ask me, I already think it's unachievable.
Not trying to bin off the normal tracker but this could be an interesting thread to bounce at the end of the season if people are prepared to put their heads above the parapet.