I hope you're right, but Derby have been on a bad run of late.The three division gap will be too much for Crawley. Nigel Clough knows the non-league scene very well having managed Burton for a long time.
Derby to win comfortably 3-1 (16/1).
It may be completely irrational but I don't like Crawley. Never have. I think because of its 'new town' status I've always seen it as a bit of a cuckoo in the Sussex nest. Plus in the 1970s I remember it as being a real hotbed of Chelsea support - and not nice, cuddly, family-oriented Chelsea support either. Even when we were doing well there was a feeling of 'enemy territory' about the place.
Now that they're only one promotion away from the League I do have fears that they may steal some of our mid/north Sussex support; or even further south if people don't like the 'modern' experience of the Amex and want a pie on a terrace.