[Politics] Tory meltdown finally arrived [was: incoming]...

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Sid and the Sharknados

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 4, 2022
5,695
Darlington
Nothing surprises me about the London electorate and the result may be quite close. I had more nuanced thoughts over the last few days.

I'm not predicting it, but a Conservative Mayor in readiness for a Labour Government is not beyond the realms of possibility.

Low turnout and the new voting system may not work well for Sadiq.

Who knows ? voting behaviour can be quite surprising up here.
I'm not sure the London electorate is any more random or unpredictable than anywhere else. In any case, the mayoral elections going back to 2008 have all been won by the candidate who was ahead in the polls.
 


Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,827
Uffern
Khan was 1/14 on, Hall was 10/1 at the last showing of odds on Skybet.

The bookies rarely get it that wrong.
I was thinking of having a cheeky tenner on Hall, as 10-1 are good odds in a two-horse raceSeeing the way that Labour is losing the Muslim vote, I wish I'd gone for it; it's really not out of the question (but would be terrible news for the opinion pollsters)
 








A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,524
Deepest, darkest Sussex


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,524
Deepest, darkest Sussex
 


TomandJerry

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2013
12,323
The Liberal Democrats have gained overall control of Tunbridge Wells as the Conservatives lost four seat, leaving them on seven and the Liberal Democrats with 22 of the 39 seats. Labour and independents have five each.

A Liberal Democrat source said “the disgusted of Tunbridge Wells have spoken.”
 




abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389
One interesting aspect of these results is how well other parties and independents have done. Disastrous for the Tories but a warning for Labour. This doesn’t feel like the run up to Blair’s first GE win when there was a national excitement about Labour. As many have alluded to on here, I can’t help but feel KS needs to start talking more about policy and ideas rather than continue to be simply the ‘we are not the tories’ party.
 


Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
One interesting aspect of these results is how well other parties and independents have done. Disastrous for the Tories but a warning for Labour. This doesn’t feel like the run up to Blair’s first GE win when there was a national excitement about Labour. As many have alluded to on here, I can’t help but feel KS needs to start talking more about policy and ideas rather than continue to be simply the ‘we are not the tories’ party.
I like other parties getting council places and in a general election, seats.
I‘m a believer in PR where one party doesn’t have all the power and politics is less extreme.
 


abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389
I like other parties getting council places and in a general election, seats.
I‘m a believer in PR where one party doesn’t have all the power and politics is less extreme.
Agree totally. PR will never happen because it’s not in the interest of the two main parties and the smaller parties will never get enough parliament seats to introduce it. Chicken and egg, catch 22 etc.
But, for me, it’s the only way of rebuilding our broken democracy - a system where every vote counts and the loonies can’t take over the asylum
 














Gabbiano

Well-known member
Dec 18, 2017
1,727
Spank the Manc
One interesting aspect of these results is how well other parties and independents have done. Disastrous for the Tories but a warning for Labour. This doesn’t feel like the run up to Blair’s first GE win when there was a national excitement about Labour. As many have alluded to on here, I can’t help but feel KS needs to start talking more about policy and ideas rather than continue to be simply the ‘we are not the tories’ party.
I understand the logic of why they aren't.

Labour know they're going to win the next election anyway if they stay on this course. They are trying to appeal to both the remain voting metropolitan liberals and the leave voting working classes simultaneously. Being too outspoken on policy risks alienating one or the other.

It's a sensible tactic though thoroughly uninspiring. Also it gives less options for the Tories and right wing media to weaponise against them.
 


Motogull

Todd Warrior
Sep 16, 2005
10,465
As good a place as any to mention that in all my years, I have never voted for the winning candidate. My referenda success rate is 50% so I'm not a complete voter failure.

It makes me wonder why I bother.
 


clapham_gull

Legacy Fan
Aug 20, 2003
25,876
Looks like my fears about the low turnout were unfounded (so far)

Small, but increase in vote to Labour in Wandsworth. Blimey. I'd to say that wipes the smile of the face of the local Tory councillors, but to be fair they haven't looked very happy for years.
 




Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
14,214
Cumbria
Looks like my fears about the low turnout were unfounded (so far)

Small, but increase in vote to Labour in Wandsworth. Blimey. I'd to say that wipes the smile of the face of the local Tory councillors, but to be fair they haven't looked very happy for years.
Wouldn't say it was small. 10% up,

Tories 15% down as well.

1714825627943.png
 


Jim in the West

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 13, 2003
4,951
Way out West
As good a place as any to mention that in all my years, I have never voted for the winning candidate. My referenda success rate is 50% so I'm not a complete voter failure.

It makes me wonder why I bother.

I would hope you voted “Earthworm” in this one, though…

 


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