Who are our main contenders again? I honestly don't think there is another country in the world better prepared for a World Cup than we are. Are we going to perhaps be overlooked due to being too perfect? I cannot think of a single thing that would be bad about us hosting it. Apart from MK being a stadium and not ours?!?!?!
1) England
2) Russia
3) Spain/Portugal
4) Holland/Belgium
There's been a big swing in the betting with England favourites on most books now...
England - evens-ish
Russia - 11/8-13/8
Portugal & Spain - 4/1ish
Belgium and Holland - 40/1
David Davis was on 5Live talking about England's last failed bid. He said Jack Warner told England his votes would go to England in the first round but he'd only stick with England if they got 6 or more votes in the first round. As it was we got 5 votes so we lost those votes and were then eliminated. He suspects Warner would have make a similar pledge to England this time round.
It's curious though - why would you vote for a country in one round but then move your vote from them in the next if they are still in? I can only assume that you have decided they won't win, so want your vote to be going to the winners for whatever reason - "I backed you when you won, now scratch my back please" etc.
Beckham spoke warmly about Warner, saying he had kept a promise a few years back to re-visit Trindad and Tobago to run soccer schools.
Davis said he has calculated his view on who will vote for who, including some "owe us a favour" things he knows about and thinks we will do it, which seems to be an upgrade from his earlier thinking.
So let's get this straight, ALL 22 vote EVERY round. So hence if say 1 country got 12 / 1 got 8 / one got 2 / one got 0 in the first round. Assuming the origianl 12 stuck with that country through all the rounds (as you'd expect them to?) that country would win. So the 1st round of voting could pretty much say who would win...? In my example then only the 2 voters for the 3rd country would be forced to change there votes in the last round as their original country would have been eliminated...
Does that make sense to you?