[Albion] To Avoid De Zerbi Bashing - The Staying Up/Europe Tracker - season 2023-24 - FINAL Update - 8 OVER

[Thunder Bolt]

Hurray. My favourite thread. Bring on the new season.

 

[Baldseagull]

Love this thread, brings sanity. We might have to adjust the title slightly if we ever get a manager named Bishop though.

 

[The Optimist]

I wonder in years to come if we’ll ever progress to the top 4 / title tracker?!

 

[Machiavelli]

Last five home games look tough, which of course means that the previous 14 home games are less tough.

 

[Reddleman]

I say it every season but this is my favourite thread by a mile. I don’t consider a win to be a proper win till it’s shown on the tracker.

 

[PortuGull]

@Giraffe - Click the "Light Bulb" top right of any page and you'll see there is still a formatting issue in Dark Mode which affects a few rows near the bottom of your spreadsheet, making the following rows unreadable in Dark Mode:

6 Apr Arsenal (H)
27 Apr Bournemouth (A)
11 May Newcastle (A)
and the bottom Row, below Man Utd (H)

I believe someone else pointed this out to you towards the end of last season and that you were going to fix it (but I can't find the thread to link to!)

My favorite thread also, even though I only use Dark Mode...

 

[The Oldman]

The only thread that matters. Thanks Girafffe.

 

[Change at Barnham]

Only draws and no wins required away from home for European qualification is where our big gains are made.
It's incredible how reliable Giraffe's formula always works out.

I bloomin' love Giraffe's Tracker. It's so reassuring when we all start loosing our heads towards the end of each season.
#TrustTheTracker

 

[One Teddy Maybank]

Thanks @Giraffe this is the main thing I follow on NSC during the season.

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Great to see the Tracker back, the season starts HERE!

*edit* Having now studied the Tracker predictions in detail, it looks like these next 38 league games could be season-defining

 

[mlg57]

Brilliant, thank you

 

[MattBackHome]

Actual Cum

Thanks once again @Giraffe

 

[dolphins]

Yay - the season has now started! Thank you so much @Giraffe - this is always the voice of reason and steadies the ship.

All hail the tracker!

 

[Giraffe]

@Giraffe - Click the "Light Bulb" top right of any page and you'll see there is still a formatting issue in Dark Mode which affects a few rows near the bottom of your spreadsheet, making the following rows unreadable in Dark Mode:

6 Apr Arsenal (H)
27 Apr Bournemouth (A)
11 May Newcastle (A)
and the bottom Row, below Man Utd (H)

I believe someone else pointed this out to you towards the end of last season and that you were going to fix it (but I can't find the thread to link to!)

My favorite thread also, even though I only use Dark Mode...

Thanks for highlighting, should now be fixed in the original post.

 

[Giraffe]

I wonder in years to come if we’ll ever progress to the top 4 / title tracker?!

If it ever becomes a realistic reality then I'd certainly consider it but like the Europe tracker I won't be tempting fate until it is very possible! Can't say I didn't consider it though...

 

[Perfidious Albion]

Thanks Giraffe. I don’t expect that we will need to worry about 40 points but if nothing else it is an excellent fixture list . I refer to it all the time.

 

[jcdenton08]

@Giraffe and his tracker are NSC institutions at this point. Cherish them. Cheers mate for doing this again, it only becomes “real” to me when the tracker is updated.

 

[cowburn86]

Echoing everyone else's love of this thread. Keeps us sane through the bad times and adds additional perspective to wins. Looking forward to another great season following this.

 

[slartibartfast]

Brilliant thanks.....

 

[Audax]

If it ever becomes a realistic reality then I'd certainly consider it but like the Europe tracker I won't be tempting fate until it is very possible! Can't say I didn't consider it though...

Top 4 was a realistic proposition until quite deep in last season. We were never favourites to do it, but a couple of late-season 6 pointers going the other way and those VAR howlers not happening and we were in with a shout.

Edit: looking back, with 4 matches to play we still had a mathematical chance of 3rd. Even after losing to Newcastle, with 3 to play we were still mathematically in with a chance of 4th (then ManU won and snuffed it out). Anyway: I think we were close enough last season to justify it for this season. Question is, where do we set the target? Looking back at the last 10 seasons, average points for the team finishing 5th has been 68.1 (lowest being 62 and highest 75). For the team that finishes 4th, the average has been 71.2 points (lowest 66, highest 79). I'd suggest a target of 72 points would work for a 4th place tracker - that's enough to beat 5th place in 9 of the last 10 seasons, and enough to beat 4th place in 7 of the last 10 seasons.