So Single market - Stay or Go ?

[WATFORD zero]

Regardless of how you voted, I believe the single biggest issue now is whether we stay in the single market with freedom of movement or we leave and install EU Immigration controls

So which is it ?

 

[narly101]

Regardless of how you voted, I believe the single biggest issue now is whether we stay in the single market with freedom of movement or we leave and install EU Immigration controls

So which is it ?

I don't believe that we will continue with freedom of movement. This is one of the main reasons behind the Leave vote, and because you cannot have one without the other. We will leave on the WTO terms, and then have to spend years renegotiating, just lilke Canada. That took 7 years to finalise. Rocky times ahead.

 

[SK1NT]

Single Market

No brainer isn't it... surely we will stay... surely... surely maybe not

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Who knows ?

If we get goons negotiating who don't deliver access to the single market, then clearly not.

 

[JC Footy Genius]

Increased controls on EU migration and access to the single market is a certainty. Most countries in the world access and trade with the single market/EU without any movement of people rules. It's all about the level and cost of access which is unlikely to be the same as we have now.

 

[WATFORD zero]

Increased controls on EU migration and access to the single market is a certainty. Most countries in the world access and trade with the single market/EU without any movement of people rules. It's all about the level and cost of access which is unlikely to be the same as we have now.

So out ?

 

[JC Footy Genius]

So out and trading with

I think we will end up with a half way house of as much access as we can retain with some restrictions on free movement ... the devil will be in the detail and spun to death by both sides so they can present it as a victory .

 

[studio150]

Increased controls on EU migration and access to the single market is a certainty. Most countries in the world access and trade with the single market/EU without any movement of people rules. It's all about the level and cost of access which is unlikely to be the same as we have now.

There were examples quoted by Cameron at PMQ on the tariffs that would be applied to exports to the EU based on WTO rates. I forget the types of goods but the highest rate was 37%.
No doubt we will he looking to discount these towards the single market but who knows where we will end up.
Stormy waters ahead

 

[KZNSeagull]

Everything will be up for discussion. To have a major member want to leave is a big shock to the EU, even if they are playing hardball publicly.
The UK will want access to the Single Market definitely, but with restricted movement of people up for negotiation. And I would not be surprised if they got it.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

I think we will end up with a half way house of as much access as we can retain with some restrictions on free movement ... the devil will be in the detail and spun to death by both sides so they can present it as a victory .

Agreed. A deal will be done.

Whatever is said before negotiations is an opening position, even if a so called 'red line'. All is negotiable.

I suspect it reduces down to the more we want on our terms, the bigger the fee we pay.

 

[beorhthelm]

didnt we have a national poll on this recently?

 

[WATFORD zero]

The UK will want access to the Single Market definitely, but with restricted movement of people up for negotiation. And I would not be surprised if they got it.

So you are saying Out ? (Anyone can have access to the market, if they pay the fees the EU decide, but being in it is significantly different).

 

[Billy the Fish]

Almost every country country has access to the single market, they just pay varying degrees of import/export duty.

There's so many variables involved it's probably not even worth speculating on. You've got to hope someone in the FCO is going round headhunting the most experienced people in international trade negotiation.

 

[cheshunt seagull]

So the foreseeable future will involve us trying to negotiate something with looks as much like what we have now as possible whilst making it appear that democracy is served by trying to demonstrate that some foreigners are being inconvenienced. Meanwhile the people of Merthyr find themselves with fewer secure jobs and find out that many local facilities will close as they were funded by EU structural funds. Confused you may be...angry many will be.

 

[marshy68]

Everything will be up for discussion. To have a major member want to leave is a big shock to the EU, even if they are playing hardball publicly.
The UK will want access to the Single Market definitely, but with restricted movement of people up for negotiation. And I would not be surprised if they got it.

I think negotiations will be very hard, if by some miracle we get a great deal all the other eu members will want to leave. Cant see the EU letting that happen.

 

[cheshunt seagull]

I think negotiations will be very hard, if by some miracle we get a great deal all the other eu members will want to leave. Cant see the EU letting that happen.

Feels good to get control back though

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

I think negotiations will be very hard, if by some miracle we get a great deal all the other eu members will want to leave. Cant see the EU letting that happen.

This is true.

However, it may be trickier and costlier for Eurozone members to leave, so perhaps our deal isn't that relevant to them.

Non Eurozone members are Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Sweden.

Only Denmark and Sweden stand out as 'leavers' from that list.

 

[KZNSeagull]

So you are saying Out ? (Anyone can have access to the market, if they pay the fees the EU decide, but being in it is significantly different).

No. You are looking at it as 2 options. I am saying that there are other options to be negotiated - IN but with restricted movement.

 

[pb21]

didnt we have a national poll on this recently?

I only recall a national poll regarding the EU as a whole, not the single market?

 

[sussex_guy2k2]

Feels good to get control back though

What control? It's an illusion that most of the British public have voted based on apparently. You personally have even less control as a voter than you've ever had.