[Football] Seagulls to defy the odds....

[lancyclaret]

....with a surprise away win at Turf Moor tomorrow.

The bookies have Burnley as favourites, Merson predicts 2-1 to Clarets, Lawrenson a 2-0 home win, the statistical "WhoScored" 1-0 to Burnley.

The "experts" and pundits have excelled in getting most BFC results wrong this season and I don't see this changing as we have not played well since a 2-1 home win against Everton. We've picked up a lot of points recently against poor teams (West Ham, West Brom, Watford and Stoke) without playing well. And in the 2-1 home win against Leicester, we only played well for 15 mins.

Without our best defender Ben Mee for a 5th game in a row, we won't keep a clean sheet, so Burnley 0 Brighton 1. I'd be relieved (actually pleased) to draw as long as Leicester don't win at Palace.

 

[Wrong-Direction]

1-2 to the good guys

Sent from my SM-A310F using Tapatalk

 

[Stat Brother]

Without all our defenders, we will keep a clean sheet, so Burnley 1 Brighton 0. I'd be relieved (actually pleased) to draw as long as Leicester don't win at Palace.

...

 

[Giraffe]

I fancy a very dull and turgid 0-0 myself.

 

[Titanic]

I fancy a very dull and turgid 0-0 myself.

Well worth the 9 hours on the road then!

 

[Bozza]

I'm amazed that you're not odds on for this.

 

[patchamalbion]

draw double

Stoke v Liverpool
Burnley v Brighton

£10 = £181

 

[lancyclaret]

I fancy a very dull and turgid 0-0 myself.

I think it would also suit Dyche & Hughton. Just think of the travel and hotel bills that could have been saved.

I'm doing a Brighton/Leicester double

Do we really want an away match in Kazakhstan or Armenia in the middle of July? (which we would probably lose).

 

[Goldstone1976]

....with a surprise away win at Turf Moor tomorrow.

The bookies have Burnley as favourites, Merson predicts 2-1 to Clarets, Lawrenson a 2-0 home win, the statistical "WhoScored" 1-0 to Burnley.

The "experts" and pundits have excelled in getting most BFC results wrong this season and I don't see this changing as we have not played well since a 2-1 home win against Everton. We've picked up a lot of points recently against poor teams (West Ham, West Brom, Watford and Stoke) without playing well. And in the 2-1 home win against Leicester, we only played well for 15 mins.

Without our best defender Ben Mee for a 5th game in a row, we won't keep a clean sheet, so Burnley 0 Brighton 1. I'd be relieved (actually pleased) to draw as long as Leicester don't win at Palace.

I’ll take a draw now.

Any suggestions for a decent curry house for tonight, please? Aroma??

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

I'll be *delighted* with a draw v Burnley.

 

[neilbard]

....with a surprise away win at Turf Moor tomorrow.

The bookies have Burnley as favourites, Merson predicts 2-1 to Clarets, Lawrenson a 2-0 home win, the statistical "WhoScored" 1-0 to Burnley.

The "experts" and pundits have excelled in getting most BFC results wrong this season and I don't see this changing as we have not played well since a 2-1 home win against Everton. We've picked up a lot of points recently against poor teams (West Ham, West Brom, Watford and Stoke) without playing well. And in the 2-1 home win against Leicester, we only played well for 15 mins.

Without our best defender Ben Mee for a 5th game in a row, we won't keep a clean sheet, so Burnley 0 Brighton 1. I'd be relieved (actually pleased) to draw as long as Leicester don't win at Palace.

 

[moggy]

Gonna wait till the first goal goes in then lump on the draw

 

[Easy 10]

We're not allowed to score away from home, so 0-0 is the best we can hope for. There's not an Albion fan alive who wouldn't take that right now.

 

[Bozza]

View attachment 96431

That's closer to how I'd see Burnley's chances, although I'd probably still have them just the other side of evens.

Where's that from, out of interest, and what's the methodology in determining "True odds"? Also, is there any historic data charting success of betting where True odds < Actual odds?

 

[Stat Brother]

Do we really want an away match in Kazakhstan or Armenia in the middle of July? (which we would probably lose).

:

THEN WHAT'S THE POINT?

 

[Icy Gull]

I think it would also suit Dyche & Hughton. Just think of the travel and hotel bills that could have been saved.

I'm doing a Brighton/Leicester double

Do we really want an away match in Kazakhstan or Armenia in the middle of July? (which we would probably lose).

Can’t see us doing better than a point tbh

There was quite an interesting article in the Argus about Burnley next season

http://www.theargus.co.uk/sport/alb...ival_manager_Dyche_yet_to_face_toughest_test/

 

[Milano]

Slightly depressing fact is we have failed to score in 10 (TEN) of our 16 away league games to date this season. That is SHIT. Even worse when those don't even include City or Liverpool.
We are going to score tomorrow though. 1-1.

 

[DavidRyder]

I think it would also suit Dyche & Hughton. Just think of the travel and hotel bills that could have been saved.

I'm doing a Brighton/Leicester double

Do we really want an away match in Kazakhstan or Armenia in the middle of July? (which we would probably lose).

The way I look at it, it's competitive matches rather than meaningless friendlies where the whole team is changed at half time. Therefore, more of a competitive edge come the first league game. Plus, wouldn't you like to sight see in Kazakhstan? Is nice!

 

[Marshy]

1-0 home win is nailed on

 

[Moshe Gariani]

That's closer to how I'd see Burnley's chances, although I'd probably still have them just the other side of evens.

Where's that from, out of interest, and what's the methodology in determining "True odds"? Also, is there any historic data charting success of betting where True odds < Actual odds?

"True odds" seems to include 4.91% allowance for alien invasion or tsunami...