[Football] Relegation odds 2019/20

[Weststander]

The Albion were I think 15/8 joint third favourites (with Burnley) for the drop all summer, even after signing Maupay and Mooy. Now:



Yes I know some teams haven’t played yet, but it’s good to see markets already reflecting that we might not be doomed after all.

 

[Tony Towner's Fridge]

Scummers at 6-1 look good for the drop for me......would be nice too! Matched hopefully by the South London Comedy Collective and Arsetown Vanilla joining them..Nice!

TNBA

TTF

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

Bit hard on wet sham, those odds. I'd love them to succomb, but they were playing the best side in the world today

 

[LamieRobertson]

Scummers at 6-1 look good for the drop for me......would be nice too! Matched hopefully by the South London Comedy Collective and Arsetown Vanilla joining them..Nice!

TNBA

TTF

I agree that 6/1 looks tasty...Liverpool at home next week

 

[Nottseagull]

15-8 to 3s is a substantial increase. Can you bet on us staying up? Any longer than 9-2 on, and it wouldn't be worth it IMO.

 

[SollysLeftFoot]

15-8 to 3s is a substantial increase. Can you bet on us staying up? Any longer than 9-2 on, and it wouldn't be worth it IMO.

Good price for an insurance bet right now IMO. As you said, anything longer wouldn't be worth it.

 

[spence]

Watford are in big trouble. Awful performance topped with an aging squad. Worth some money on them

Ben Foster 35
Gomes 38
Holebas 35
Cathcart 30
Janmaat 30
Mariappa 32
Prödl 32

That's just in defence

Cleverly 30
Deeney 31
Capoue 31

 

[The Maharajah of Sydney]

15-8 to 3s is a substantial increase. Can you bet on us staying up? Any longer than 9-2 on, and it wouldn't be worth it IMO.

You can lay them at just under 7-2 on Betfair right now.

 

[Weststander]

The markets are slowly beginning to recognise that we’re not crap.

 

[spence]

INTERESTING VIEW

Though everyone under the sun seems to be backing Brighton and Hove Albion (15th) for the drop, I’m a little more optimistic.

‘Be careful what you wish for’ seems to be the common trope, but Albion’s record last year was utterly abhorrent: two wins in 2019, including a run of six league matches without a single goal, surviving with a paltry 36 points, is simply not good enough. And the data showed it in uncompromising terms, something owner Tony Bloom is big on.

Chris Hughton is a club legend, but this was the right time for a change, and Graham Potter comes in with a brand new, exciting style of football. Potter did brilliantly with an asset-stripped Swansea side last year, and he’s ready to prove a few naysayers wrong.

Albion’s transfer business has been solid: winger Leandro Trossard joins with a big reputation from Genk, Adam Webster (arguably the best centre-back in the Championship last year) will line-up with Lewis Dunk and Shane Duffy in a back three, while the prolific Neal Maupay will spearhead the attack.

 

[Nottseagull]

View attachment 114390

The markets are slowly beginning to recognise that we’re not crap.

Although they also seem to suggest that West Ham's point today is seen as poor (were 13s).

 

[Johnny RoastBeef]

Although they also seem to suggest that West Ham's point today is seen as poor.

Not sure that's correct.

Their odds lengthened, meaning less likely to go down. So a good point.

 

[Nottseagull]

Not sure that's correct.

Their odds lengthened, meaning less likely to go down. So a good point.

They shortened!

 

[Weststander]

Although they also seem to suggest that West Ham's point today is seen as poor (were 13s).

Strange that. For WHU to come away from the mighty Albion with a point is an amazing result for them.

 

[Johnny RoastBeef]

They shortened!

Sorry, should have read more carefully. I was judging by the pink .

 

[Nottseagull]

Strange that. For WHU to come away from the mighty Albion with a point is an amazing result for them.

Nowadays, these odds are really decided by the millions betting abroad, particularly in Asia. They'll have seen a live feed and noted our domination, combining it with those three fluffed 2nd half chances that fell to Maupay and Trossard which should really have produced at least two more goals.

 

[Weststander]

Nowadays, these odds are really decided by the millions betting abroad, particularly in Asia. They'll have seen a live feed and noted our domination, combining it with those three 2nd half chances that fell to Maupay and Trossard which should really have produced at least two goals.

That’s my take, plus far greater sums are wagered globally on ManU, Liverpool, ManC etc, giving them shorter odds on any bet.

 

[Medwayseagull]

Strange odds for Southampton - not sure where the optimism for them to stay up comfortably has come from.

 

[spence]

Strange that. For WHU to come away from the mighty Albion with a point is an amazing result for them.

Update ?

 

[Weststander]

Update ?

It’s changed so much already in 10 days.

Brighton were to stink the PL out with Burnley, SheffUtd and Norwich. CP were destined for mid-table glory.

The one oddity, the markets really do love Stains, despite little old Burnley tearing them to shreds,