Play off run in. Team by Team.

[turienzo's lovechild]

i'd LOVE IT if it was between us and Cardiff and glenn murray scored a last minute winner

 

[Triggaaar]

The only thing I'm willing to predict is Southampton going up. If I had a house(and was able to) I'd put it on Saints going up. I'd probably put my car on them winning the league too.

This is probably why you don't have a house.

 

[Garry Nelson's Left Foot]

This is probably why you don't have a house.

I don't have a car either...

 

[severnside gull]

Thought provoking thread but beyond working out that the last two games will be crucial I am really none the wiser

I do agree though that at this stage and given the uneven results, all season let alone recently, it is very much a case of "what if" as I have given up on trying to predict results.

 

[Triggaaar]

I don't have a car either...

People willing to put their car and house on football don't deserve a house or a car

 

[Paris]

As much as Adkins gratted last season he's done a good job with the Saints in his time there. Though i think i'll give up watching MOTD next season if he's on it - "We'll assess this game, warm down, draw a line under it and move on to the next one".

If Gus features it'll be worth the agony of listening to Adkins. Or i'll use the mute button.

 

[Paddy B]

3 of our 4 home games are very tough and I still think we dont score enough goals away from home. So I am going for glorious failure.

 

[pasty]

I'm still a tad pessimistic about our chances of being in the top six come the last day, but then that is probably born out of being a Brighton fan too long. Hope I'm proved wrong, but see us just missing out.

 

[kevo]

Southampton, blah blah blah. They're not there yet. It's still tight between them, Reading and West Ham. Nine games left to play, anything could happen. As was proved earlier in the season, and when we stuffed them 3-0 with our reserve team, they are not infallible. I'd certainly like to see how they'd cope if Lambert got injured.

 

[Biscuit]

I'm going to stick my neck out here and say 'I don't think we'll make the play offs'.

There. Said it.

 

[TheMajor]

3 of our 4 home games are very tough and I still think we dont score enough goals away from home. So I am going for glorious failure.

Yes but - that is why we WILL get in the Play Offs because our tough games are at home.

Note to OP - Forest only has one "r" - sorry couldn't let it go.

 

[making plans for nigel]

Crystal Palace,
Derby (A)
Donkeys (H)
Forest (H)
Brum (A)
Saints (H)
Ipswich (H)
Pompey (A)
Reading (A)
Cardiff (H)

 

[Paddy B]

Crystal Palace,
Derby (A)
Donkeys (H)
Forest (H)
Brum (A)
Saints (H)
Ipswich (H)
Pompey (A)
Reading (A)
Cardiff (H)

You best get some points in the next three games because after that your only good chance of 3 points is the chokers on the last day!

 

[making plans for nigel]

You best get some points in the next three games because after that your only good chance of 3 points is the chokers on the last day!

Really ?
Brum- Too many games, may have hit the wall.
Saints- Toughy, i'll give you that one.
Ipswich- Nothing to play for.
Pompey- Unsure, had a good win against Brum, maybe down by then ?
Reading- Could be up by then.
Cardiff- We'll win with a last minute penalty.
Its all guesswork isn't it, no game in the run in is predictable

 

[pigbite]

Simple Excel ... can send you file if you PM me your email add

It's nice. PM on it's way.

 

[Dirk Gently]

Don't Reading play Leeds at Home?

 

[kevo]

I've updated Drumstick's original post. All teams now have six games remaining.

Leaving out Saints, Reading and West Ham leaving just 3 play off spots this is the run in games v current top 9 teams will be in red.

Birmingham
66

Palace (Home)
West Ham (Away)
Bristol City (Home)
Ipswich (Away)
Brighton (Away)
Reading (Home)

3 of the top 9 teams.

Blackpool
63

Watford (Away)
Barnsley (Home)
Forest (Away)
Leeds (Home)
Burnley (Home)
Millwall (Away)

0 of the top 9 teams.

Brighton
63

Burnley (Away)
Reading (Home)
West Ham (Away)
Watford (Home)
Birmingham (Home)
Barnsley (Away)

3 of the top 9 teams.

Middlesbrough
63

Cardiff (Home)
Hull (Away)
Derby (Away)
Doncaster (Home)
Southampton (Home)
Watford (Away)

3 of the top 9 teams.

Cardiff
61

Middlesbrough (Away)
Watford (Home)
Barnsley (Away)
Derby (Home)
Leeds (Home)
Palace (Away)

1 of the top 9 teams.

Hull
58

Millwall (Away)
Middlesbrough (Home)
Watford (Away)
Barnsley (Home)
Forest (Home)
West Ham (Away)

2 of the top 9 teams.

 

[Garry Nelson's Left Foot]

Hull have an easy-ish looking run in but have only won one fo their last ten games including four straight defeats so they're going to need a sharp turnaround in form if they want to sneak in. However with only 38 goals scored in 40 games and not particularly impressive home or away records(7 defeats each on the road and at home) that looks unlikely.

Cardiff also have a fairly easy run in but again their form isn't great, just eleven points from their last ten games and no wins in five. If that winless run stretches any further then they'll do very well to recover and get a play off place. In their favour they are hard to beat(only 9 defeats all season) so if they have a little bit of luck they can turn some of those draws into wins and become serious contenders again.

I can't make my mind up on Middleborough. Clearly they're a decent team they don't lose often(like Cardiff only 9 times so far) yet recently they haven't been able to buy a win. It's six games in a row now without a win. I think they might rectify that soon with games coming up against faltering hopefuls Cardiff and Hull. They could do themselves(and ourselves, Blackpool and Birmingham) a big favour by beating Cardiff. I think they are a real threat to our play off hopes so hopefully after they've beaten cardiff they'll resort to their run of draws and defeats...

As for Blackpool, they're the team that I fear the most for some reason. After looking at their form, I'm not too sure why-four wins and four defeats in their last ten. They do, however, have the easiest run in of everyone so I expect them to win more than they lose in the next six games. They're looking good at the moment for a place in the play offs.

Birmingham are now in the driving seat for a play off place. Back to back wins have left them three points clear of the pack in fourth and they also have the best goal difference of all the teams. Like us they have a mixed run in-three tough games and three(on paper...) not so tough. Our game against them at the Amex looks like it could be absolutely massive in terms of our play off chances.

So, to take a guess, I'd say it'll end very similarly to how it is now. I think Brum and Blackpool will get in there and then the last place will be down to us or Middlesborough(or Cardiff if they can re-kick start their season).

 

[Rugrat]

Hull have an easy-ish looking run in but have only won one fo their last ten games including four straight defeats so they're going to need a sharp turnaround in form if they want to sneak in. However with only 38 goals scored in 40 games and not particularly impressive home or away records(7 defeats each on the road and at home) that looks unlikely.

Cardiff also have a fairly easy run in but again their form isn't great, just eleven points from their last ten games and no wins in five. If that winless run stretches any further then they'll do very well to recover and get a play off place. In their favour they are hard to beat(only 9 defeats all season) so if they have a little bit of luck they can turn some of those draws into wins and become serious contenders again.

I can't make my mind up on Middleborough. Clearly they're a decent team they don't lose often(like Cardiff only 9 times so far) yet recently they haven't been able to buy a win. It's six games in a row now without a win. I think they might rectify that soon with games coming up against faltering hopefuls Cardiff and Hull. They could do themselves(and ourselves, Blackpool and Birmingham) a big favour by beating Cardiff. I think they are a real threat to our play off hopes so hopefully after they've beaten cardiff they'll resort to their run of draws and defeats...

As for Blackpool, they're the team that I fear the most for some reason. After looking at their form, I'm not too sure why-four wins and four defeats in their last ten. They do, however, have the easiest run in of everyone so I expect them to win more than they lose in the next six games. They're looking good at the moment for a place in the play offs.

Birmingham are now in the driving seat for a play off place. Back to back wins have left them three points clear of the pack in fourth and they also have the best goal difference of all the teams. Like us they have a mixed run in-three tough games and three(on paper...) not so tough. Our game against them at the Amex looks like it could be absolutely massive in terms of our play off chances.

So, to take a guess, I'd say it'll end very similarly to how it is now. I think Brum and Blackpool will get in there and then the last place will be down to us or Middlesborough(or Cardiff if they can re-kick start their season).

Good summary. Brum and Blackpool look to be in control of 2 places. Only thing I'd change is that I'd want a Boro v Cardiff draw, we can't afford either to get any, even slight, impetus

 

[Silent Bob]

Crystal Palace,
Derby (A)
Donkeys (H)
Forest (H)
Brum (A)
Saints (H)
Ipswich (H)
Pompey (A)
Reading (A)
Cardiff (H)

Hows that working out for you?