London Irish said:My view is that the Lebanese government thought it was better to have Hezbollah inside the tent pissing out rather than the other way round. Hezbolloah are a movement like any other capable of being steered towards either greater moderation, as with their community work setting up hospitals, schools and other social programmes, or greater militancy with greater confrontation with the Isreali military.
All academic now anyway because the war will now entrench Hezbollah's military destiny and ensure them massive waves of new converts - should any election be held again in that shattered country I would expect massive growth in their support from the 25 per cent I mentioned.
This is what Isreali strategy has done, it cuts off any hope of Arab moderation. Just as Israel's permanent war has driven the Palestinians into the arms of Hamas, so their latest carefully planned slaughter will entrench Hezbollah in south Lebanon.
My view is that Israel doesn't give a shit about this. It doesn't want dialogue with Arab moderates because that would mean giving concessions on land. And why should they give concessions when they have the biggest army in the region that can wipe out anything that stands in its way?
Israel has opted for permanent low-intensity war with its Arab neighbours, sure, it will lose a very small percentage of its population to Hezbollah rocket attacks and Hamas suicide bombings every year, but that's a less scary prospect to them than giving up the land they've occupied for many years now and will probably now never give back.
When Israel only offers the Palestinian and Lebanese people permanent war, Hamas and Hezbollah will take the leadership of those peoples. The shockwaves of this conflict will continue to reveberate around the world as it also generates a slide to extremism throughout the Middle East.
I think Mr London Irish talks a lot of sense on this subject.