Independent and evidence-based analysis of BHA problems

[Peter Grummit]

If you like me are sick of the knee-jerk brigade on here then this is worth a read.

http://experimental361.com/2014/10/24/club-by-club-review-championship/

"Brighton – The execution – and perhaps a bit of luck – is all that appears to be lacking for Brighton so far. Up front, they’ve created more chances than any Football League side except Norwich, but also have the second most wasteful attack. At the back, they have allowed the fewest attempts at their goal of any Championship side but only three defences have required fewer shots on average to breach."

A (probably futile) plea for any comment on this to be based on the experimental 3-6-1 analysis rather than repeating views already posted on so many other threads.

PG

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Anyone care to do the honours?

 

[BensGrandad]

Lets hope that Stockdale has turned the corner to make one set of figures better where the opponents dont have 2 shots on target 1 goal. On the I player interview SH hinted that he wasnt right when he arrived but was much better now, as shown by Saturdays performance. That will enable us to build from clean sheets.

 

[Stat Brother]

Anyone care to do the honours?

Give us an

'F'...

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Give us an

'F'...

 

[AnotherArch]

Firstly the basis of the statistics is incorrect. The report equates "chances" to "shots". In our case, the midfielders blasting over from thirty yards is not a "chance". I am sure that Mr Burke has all the Opta stats that will show how very few real "chances" that we have created.

 

[WhingForPresident]

Hey, if we go down, at least we will be able to find solace in the fact that we were 'unlucky' to get relegated.

 

[glasfryn]

interesting

 

[SIMMO SAYS]

If you like me are sick of the knee-jerk brigade on here then this is worth a read.

http://experimental361.com/2014/10/24/club-by-club-review-championship/

"Brighton – The execution – and perhaps a bit of luck – is all that appears to be lacking for Brighton so far. Up front, they’ve created more chances than any Football League side except Norwich, but also have the second most wasteful attack. At the back, they have allowed the fewest attempts at their goal of any Championship side but only three defences have required fewer shots on average to breach."

A (probably futile) plea for any comment on this to be based on the experimental 3-6-1 analysis rather than repeating views already posted on so many other threads.

PG

Welcome to Div 1 then

 

[Lifelong Supporter]

I think it confirms opponents have been able to slice through us and create real chances from which they score whereas we tend to try and make a way through defences, do not succeed and then shoot from distance to limited effect. Stats are how you interpret them.

 

[AnotherArch]

No it does not. the y-axis clearly states "shots taken per goal scored" not "chances required per goal scored". What is wrong with that?

But the descriptive text of the report for Brighton states: "Up front, they’ve created more chances..."

 

[Vegas Seagull]

Can't shoot, can't save

 

[El Sid]

The evidence lies in our league position. The problem is that at the present moment our strikeforce (force??) could not hit a wall with a wet bogey.

 

[T soprano]

STATS don't win games

Look at our GOALS FOR column (3rd worst in league )
Then look at our points column (4th worst in the league)

 

[Peter Grummit]

STATS don't win games

Look at our GOALS FOR column (3rd worst in league )
Then look at our points column (4th worst in the league)

Of course not. But they can help to diagnose a solution. Ask Billy Bean.

PG

 

[Dorset Seagull]

Of course not. But they can help to diagnose a solution. Ask Billy Bean.

PG

Some might suggest the the Moneyball approach we appear to have taken is what has contributed to our current demise

 

[8ace]

A vast majority of people have an above average number of legs.

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Where's the graph? It can't be a proper thread without the graph.

 

[perseus]

Number of shots: Norwich, Brighton, Blackburn Worst: Charlton, Leeds
Possession: Derby, Brighton, Norwich Worst: Rotherham, Charlton
Passing: Brighton, Wolves, Derby Worst: Birmingham, Ipswich, Rotherham
Aerials: Blackburn, Rotherham, Ipswich Worst: Watford, Brentford
Shots inside the penalty area, best %: Ipswich, Derby, Middlesbrough Worst: Leeds, Sheff Wed, Charlton
Action zones (most attacking): Norwich, Rotherham Least: Blackpool, Leeds, Charlton

 

[Eeyore]

Well, at least the new manager will have some positives to work with.