7 - I see us having a surprisingly good group stage, 2 wins followed by an encouraging draw against Belgium. Then with all the hope of going far, we end up doing the most England thing ever of losing 2-1 to Poland/Senegal/Japan and crashing out in the Ro16.
Realistic prediction, we finish second in the group and get dispatched by José and James Rodríguez, or we somehow win the group, get through to the Quarters and get spanked 4-1 by Germany.