[Help] How many are the Tories going to win by?

[crodonilson]

On a wave of emotional nationalism it looks like the Tories are going to surge to an impressive victory in the general electyion today. Winning the public over with an oven ready Brexit deal ready to pop in the microwave and a series of bold policies to get Britain moving again, but how many do you think they're going to win by?

 

[Tim Over Whelmed]

My estimate is 36 seats, yesterday I was thinking around 20 but today I think it'll be nearer the mid-thirties

 

[Weststander]

The bookies Smarkets have it at 52. Halving that for over confidence by punters, I’ve gone for 26.

But wouldn’t be shocked by a hung Commons.

 

[Beach Hut]

Around 50, General Elections are now turning into a vote for who would do least damage as opposed to any positivity that something good will happen

 

[Guinness Boy]

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Bozza]

I've added the "no majority" option that was missing.

It depends on how you determine "win by" - presumably you mean majority, but are you factoring in speaker seats and Sinn Fein in that?

326 seats is the lowest for a majority, giving 326 v 324, but there is the speaker and three (I think) deputies and, for now at least, seven Sinn Fein MPs who won't sit, which effectively lowers the target by a few.

 

[bluenitsuj]

50 - 60

 

[Wellesley]

Full House, a clean sweep. (I've no idea)

 

[Brovion]

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

 

[lawros left foot]

My estimate is 36 seats, yesterday I was thinking around 20 but today I think it'll be nearer the mid-thirties

How did he find another 15 seats in that fridge?

 

[Icy Gull]

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

Having watched the Brexit vote unfold and Trump’s election that would not be that big a surprise to me.

 

[lawros left foot]

My prediction, Tory 10-15 seat majority, unfortunately.

 

[Weststander]

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

You’ll get 3/1 on Corbyn being PM (by January).

 

[Tim Over Whelmed]

How did he find another 15 seats in that fridge?

No, his minder went out and politely spoke to some locals!

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

60+ majority for the Prime Liar.

Announced just after 10pm when the BBC reveals its exit poll.


Corbyn gone by Saturday.

 

[blue-shifted]

Self fulfilling prophesies can be dangerous things OP

 

[A1X]

33 is my prediction

 

[Bob!]

Hung Parliament.

tactical voting will have a big part to play this time.

 

[Eeyore]

The Tories won't get a majority as they will get less than 50% of the vote.

Oh...

 

[Live by the sea]

@%1;

Hopefully enough to ensure Corbyn resigns and takes his extremist Marxist mates with him. This will empower the decent moderate labour mp’s to restore the Labour Party to the way it was under Blair and brown and make labour much more electable in the future.