GingerBeerMan
3-0
- Dec 29, 2011
- 8,204
Ever think the teams in third won because they're the best side, hence finishing highest? It's just coincidence they played their second leg at home.
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How crucial do you think playing the second leg at home is?
- Thread starter Stat Brother
- Start date
Ever think the teams in third won because they're the best side, hence finishing highest? It's just coincidence they played their second leg at home.
NorthStandN1A
Member
I would prefer 1st leg at home - just look at Bayern last night - tie is basically over (Barca at home are different gravy but 4-0 down is too much for them vs Bayern M)
seagull_in_malaysia
Active member
Considering we haven't come from behind to win since August 2011 I'd rather we played the first leg at home to hopefully build up a lead.
I agree. I think what would also be worth looking at is 'exit velocity' - i.e. each team's form going into the play-offs and whether the most 'in form' teams did well or not. I have a hunch that a team that finished the season well and just managed to scratch sixth place will do better than a team that had a mediocre end to the season and finished third.
Unfortunately, I would have no idea how to measure this - I'm sure there will be a statto somewhere that could though...
HawkTheSeagull
New member
Playing at home is only good for a 2nd leg if the away goals rule counts - but it doesnt so it doesnt matter.
Id rather have the first leg at home so we can get a decent result - then we go and park the bus in the second leg.
Id rather have the first leg at home so we can get a decent result - then we go and park the bus in the second leg.
Brighton Breezy
New member
On the face of it you want the second leg at home.
But, as has been pointed out, a team coming to The Amex with a lead and shutting up shop is not too appealing. We have struggled to open teams up when they have come with that approach.
I guess psychologically it might be better to play away from home first knowing you have the relative safey blanket (as people often see it) of having a home game coming up. Lose the first leg at home and it would be hard to recover.
But, as has been pointed out, a team coming to The Amex with a lead and shutting up shop is not too appealing. We have struggled to open teams up when they have come with that approach.
I guess psychologically it might be better to play away from home first knowing you have the relative safey blanket (as people often see it) of having a home game coming up. Lose the first leg at home and it would be hard to recover.
But first leg away, the other team could take their time and not panic, and if they win 1-0 they'll come to us and park the bus, and we find it difficult when they do that. I guess I'd choose to be away first, but I'm not sure it'll make a lot of difference.
jgmcdee
New member
- Mar 25, 2012
- 931
If it's a draw at the end of 180 minutes does it go in to extra time and eventually on to penalties? If so then it feels to me that it would be better for those penalties to be taken at the AmEx so I'd be inclined to say that we'd be better off with first leg away.
Sheebo
Well-known member
- Jul 13, 2003
- 29,319
If it goes to extra time it very much matters.....
HawkTheSeagull
New member
In what way ?
If it was the Amex then half the ground would be empty for extra time !!!
Sheebo
Well-known member
- Jul 13, 2003
- 29,319
I hope not!
Of course having an extra half hr to win the tie on your home pitch, in front of your home supporters matters quite a bit...
imissworthing2
New member
Obviously there's a variety of arguements for and against playing at home 2nd.
Personally, I'd want to play home 2nd game. Whilst I'm confident that we can beat anyone at home, away is a different matter. The other three sides are of a sufficient standard that if they park the bus at our place in the 1st leg and get a 0-0; they'd have enuf about them to turn us over at their place in the 2nd leg.
I'd like Bolton at the reebok 1st, with a draw or defeat by a goal. I'd be confident enuf of overturning either of those 2 in the 2nd leg, possibly to include extra time.
Personally, I'd want to play home 2nd game. Whilst I'm confident that we can beat anyone at home, away is a different matter. The other three sides are of a sufficient standard that if they park the bus at our place in the 1st leg and get a 0-0; they'd have enuf about them to turn us over at their place in the 2nd leg.
I'd like Bolton at the reebok 1st, with a draw or defeat by a goal. I'd be confident enuf of overturning either of those 2 in the 2nd leg, possibly to include extra time.
Poyningsgull
Well-known member
- Apr 12, 2007
- 1,729
What are you talking about, we equalized with 2 nano seconds to spare.
Lord Bracknell
On fire
What that table tells me is that teams with a name beginning with W have the best chance of winning the final.
Or, alternatively, it's all meaningless superstition.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 36,014
given our form this season, away-home would be the preference. look at the games away and we've won 7 drawn 9 lost only 6 for 25 conceded. it suits us to go away where the home team is expected to play more open. however the risk is a 0-0 then they come to the Amex with a plan to park the bus and nick a goal.
Cheeky Monkey
Well-known member
- Jul 17, 2003
- 23,867
Not important at all.
BHA 4 Millwall 1
Bayern Munich 4 Barcelona 0
BHA 4 Millwall 1
Bayern Munich 4 Barcelona 0
All things considered I'm not really seeing this something worthy of much consideration. Players score and miss penalties at home and away and I'm not convinced geography matters significantly.
brightonmark1234
Well-known member
i think its very important we play the second leg at home
What's your reasoning?
- Thread starter
- #60
Pound to be piece of pooh 
they'd have the penalties in front of the South Stand, and their fans.
they'd have the penalties in front of the South Stand, and their fans.