This was an interesting thread, it’s a shame [MENTION=12825]cunning fergus[/MENTION] has completely derailed it.
It was you suggesting Polands history with Germany made dealing with a German EU official painful, if you were not referring to the history of the period of Nazi Germany, I apologise, if you were, get off your tiny high horse.
Exactly.
There is no raging consumption boom to quell. The opposite, credit card and loan debts reduced with folk unable to spend on travel.
Inflation this time has been caused by unique factors outside of the traditional reason of demand from consumers. Car fuel, home energy, food, supply chain issues.
When BoE monetary committee members speak to the media, they say it’s to reduce inflation to 2%. How will raising the cost of all forms of lending, negate the higher cost of petrol, gas, elec, food and imported goods?
Additionally, we’ve increasingly become a credit based economy.
In the past, conventional economic wisdom was that low interest rates encouraged spending and discouraged saving. People wanting returns on their money had to usefully invest it (take risk) or spend it (credit is cheap) which grew the economy.
However, if large chunks of the population are already living hand to mouth and utilising credit for larger purchases, without having savings (it’s been decades since there’s been any point in having a savings account with rates lower than inflation) then raising interest rates causes as many problems as it solves, because saving may now become desirable, but not viable, as the money that (before our switch to consumer credit) may have gone into a savings account, instead has to be used to meet the increased cost of mortgages/credit cards/loans. From a household perspective, raised interest rates are now in themselves inflationary.
We are not in a consumer boom, we’ve privatised the essentials (housing, energy, transport) and it is there that most of the inflation lies (food and automobiles too) and I have not yet heard a convincing argument from any economist or politician of any stripe as to how we extricate ourselves from this US led mess of our own making.
The only route out that I can see is effectively trickle up economics, but given our current political mindset, it’s safe to say that we’ve got decades of feckless politicians tinkering around the edges trying to prevent us trying this before we eventually, grudgingly, accept the inevitable.
Captain hindsight comes up with the obvious answer very early doors, but not considered by Johnson and will probably not create a windfall tax even though the energy companies have 'more money than they know what to do with
Meanwhile millions will fall into real fuel poverty and struggle to feed their children or heat their home.
This is a rather sick country we are living in.
I wondered where this thread had been diverted off the topic of the developing cost of living crisis. It appears that ever since this post from someone who seems to think 'We' are still in the EU,
was immediately proven to be complete and utter crap it seems to have descended into lots of posts of whataboutery. I believe the poster 'won', so maybe he needs to 'let go' and 'move on' and enjoy what he voted for
Also from Wikipedia,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_famines_in_China
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_famine_of_1891–1892
Both areas that have suffered many times from terrible famines, through drought and exacerbated by ineptitude under more than one form of political ideology.
Food security is one area the EU is concerned with and takes seriously, agricultural policy for all it's failings does take this into account and trys to maintain the ability of Europe to feed itself. EU countries are vital for UK food security, we have less food security now as non members, as any pressure affecting supply could see the EU restricting exports to non EU states.
It really is not as simple as you.
Stalin & Mao were only communists as a route to get personal power which they then both greatly abused when they took power.
Hmm, it would seem to me that if food security and reducing costs of living were to be taken seriously by the EU then they would be tearing up the Common Agricultural Policy, which sustains food prices at levels that would be subject to down ward pressure if supply was increased whether internally or externally (by reducing tariffs).
That’s not to mention the removal of those generous subsidies from EU taxpayers to EU landowners and farmers to NOT grow food.
What a game.
Sending farms into bankruptcy is not good for food security, or encouraging changes in land use by decreasing the value of it as agricultural land.
Oh sure, those “poor old farmers” will definitely go bust without subsidies………
https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/20...-millions-eu-subsidies-go-richest-landowners/
https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/20...iven-1m-farm-subsidies-horse-breeding-empire/
https://www.scotsman.com/news/polit...h-recipients-nearly-ps7m-eu-subsidies-3062542
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/...ud-receives-225-000-in-state-grants-2f395wp65
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/mega-rich-scottish-landowners-raking-16483459
Even the most ardent EU supporting swivel eyed loon would recognise the inequities of the CAP, on both sides (i.e. it artificially creates higher prices for the consumer and nearly half the EU taxpayers contribution to the EU is for CAP) it’s why Blair tried to reform by surrendering our rebate but failed.
Farms into bankruptcy………what a laugh you are!
Oh sure, those “poor old farmers” will definitely go bust without subsidies………
https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/20...-millions-eu-subsidies-go-richest-landowners/
https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/20...iven-1m-farm-subsidies-horse-breeding-empire/
https://www.scotsman.com/news/polit...h-recipients-nearly-ps7m-eu-subsidies-3062542
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/...ud-receives-225-000-in-state-grants-2f395wp65
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/mega-rich-scottish-landowners-raking-16483459
Even the most ardent EU supporting swivel eyed loon would recognise the inequities of the CAP, on both sides (i.e. it artificially creates higher prices for the consumer and nearly half the EU taxpayers contribution to the EU is for CAP) it’s why Blair tried to reform by surrendering our rebate but failed.
Farms into bankruptcy………what a laugh you are!
I had already admitted it has its failings, but it is not a black and white issue. But back on topic, with imports from the EU now more expensive as a third country, and our reliance on the EU to feed the nation, would you be capable of admitting that the cost of living crisis is exacerbated by Brexit?
Try watching last night's Spotlight South West when they run a piece on a Devon Farmer about the Australian so called deal regarding beef.
Our farmers don't stand a chance not to mention the poor quality they are allowed to export to us.
They likened it to as one sided as the ashes tests.
Under the EU it was fairer and much more high quality produce.
Removing subsidies is like reducing welfare, it’s not going to be popular with those who receive it.
Remaining in a trade bloc that actively discourages competitive imports (that could benefits its consumers) with excessive tariffs to protect itself from open and functioning markets is doomed to fail. Consumers paying artificially high prices and whilst also paying into the system that keeps prices high is not fair.
https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/prepare-farm-business-brexit
Free of the EU constraints like CAP U.K. politicians can either take the path of least resistance and continue in a similar vein or take bold steps to reform its markets and industries. Weaning industries off subsidies can be done if the will is there.
So, a British farmer that rightly has to comply with certain regulations on animal welfare, feedstuffs, pesticides, labour, health and safety, traceability etc. should have to compete on price without tariff, on imports that may have no regard for some or any of those regulations, and may be subsidised to an even greater degree than EU agriculture, as US produce is?
The result is you either have to increase subsidy to your own agricultural sector, or just abandon any notion of food security and rely on imports and lose all agricultural expertise and animal husbandry from your nations skill set. Stop pretending you have a clue about this.
I think someone needs to go out and get laid.