[Albion] Champions league qualification still possible with just 3 games to go

[Bold Seagull]

10 pts from 12 starting with a win tonight and I think we'd sneak in.

 

[worthingseagull]

Much more chance of us finishing 8th than 4th

and THE MOST likely (@ 85% and yes I made it up ) is we come 6th so Europa League here we come

 

[Hotchilidog]

Of course it won't happen, but is fun to discuss it whilst it still CAN!

 

[Sheebo]

That's what happens when you type a time as if it was a rugby score.

Oh sorry Sir. I should have wrote 21:26 to make it obvious I wasn’t meaning a rugby score in this context - on an internet message board. Apologies!

 

[Brovion]

Well that's blown it now. Well done OP to condemning us to lose the next 4 matches.

Naa. We'll win tonight, everyone will get excited ..... then we'll lose to Southampton!

But yeah, the point of the thread stands. We are a few games away from the end of the season and us, li'l old Brighton, still have a chance of grabbing a CL spot. An outside, remote, 'only mathematical' chance, but a chance nonetheless.

Unbelievable.

 

[Acker79]

I remember some threads last season about qualifying for europe, which preceded us slipping up in winnable games.

There were a few posts on here ahead of the Everton game making the argument of the possibility of champions league football when lots of people were wanting teams then above us to beat teams with outside chances of Europe to reduce the chances of them overtaking us (I was one of them holding on to the CL possibility).

And of course the talk of quarter finals before Charlton, finals before United.

Feels like any time we start talking about such achievements we're setting ourselves up for an inevitable fall.

While I get the 'I'm just happy we can have the conversation' intent of the thread, I find it undercuts the achievement - a little voice wondering what might have been, rather than fully enjoying what we got/get

 

[Stat Brother]

Oh sorry Sir. I should have wrote 21:26 to make it obvious I wasn’t meaning a rugby score in this context - on an internet message board. Apologies!

21-0 down at halftime?

 

[GJN1]

Win them all that’s all we can do

And also sue the FA until they give us the three points we were robbed of at Spurs and the two at Palace.

So, just add another five on.

 

[KZNSeagull]

It's nailed on. Dunno why so many of you are doubting it.

 

[Whoislloydy]

IF we beat Newcastle and Southampton, and Newcastle and United drop points and Liverpool/Villa draw this weekend then we MIGHT, just MIGHT be in with a sniff.

 

[Official Old Man]

SSN in the match preview have also mentioned us and the CL in the same sentence.
I think it went along the lines of "Brighton could scupper Newcastles chances of CL qualification tonight"

 

[axscott]

The PL have us in the fight still!

 

[Simster]

10 pts from 12 starting with a win tonight and I think we'd sneak in.

No chance. We need 12 from 12 and even then it's hugely unlikely.

Firstly, I think we'd have to overhaul both Newcastle AND Man Utd, because Liverpool are at home to Villa and away to Southampton. I suppose they might drop points against Villa but probably not.

So if we win tonight (and it's a massive if), we'd be 5 behind Man Utd and effectively 5 and a half behind Newcastle with all three clubs having 3 matches to play, and one of ours is Man City.

Put simply, if 2 of the 3 clubs above win 2 of their remaining games, we can't finish 4th. If we don't beat City (or Southampton for that matter!), that requirement drops to a win and draw/2 draws.


Still, I know that isn't the point of this thread. The point is that is amazing to even be having this conversation in May. Mental.

 

[Hugo Rune]

A win tonight and we have Europa Conference in the bag!

It’s then another win to give us Europa but only 4 wins out or 4 will deliver us the Champions League I believe.

Can we do it? RDZ will be convinced we can!

 

[Bold Seagull]

No chance. We need 12 from 12 and even then it's hugely unlikely.

Firstly, I think we'd have to overhaul both Newcastle AND Man Utd, because Liverpool are at home to Villa and away to Southampton. I suppose they might drop points against Villa but probably not.

So if we win tonight (and it's a massive if), we'd be 5 behind Man Utd and effectively 5 and a half behind Newcastle with all three clubs having 3 matches to play, and one of ours is Man City.

Put simply, if 2 of the 3 clubs above win 2 of their remaining games, we can't finish 4th. If we don't beat City (or Southampton for that matter!), that requirement drops to a win and draw/2 draws.


Still, I know that isn't the point of this thread. The point is that is amazing to even be having this conversation in May. Mental.

Liverpool lose to Villa, beat Saints GD stays at +28 = 68pts
Newcastle lose to us, draw v Leicester and Chelsea GD +30 = 68pts
We win 3 games draw the other, adding +9 GD +30 = 68pts (we'd make it on goals scored)

Unlikely but not outrageous either...

 

[MJsGhost]

No chance. We need 12 from 12 and even then it's hugely unlikely.

Firstly, I think we'd have to overhaul both Newcastle AND Man Utd, because Liverpool are at home to Villa and away to Southampton. I suppose they might drop points against Villa but probably not.

So if we win tonight (and it's a massive if), we'd be 5 behind Man Utd and effectively 5 and a half behind Newcastle with all three clubs having 3 matches to play, and one of ours is Man City.

Put simply, if 2 of the 3 clubs above win 2 of their remaining games, we can't finish 4th. If we don't beat City (or Southampton for that matter!), that requirement drops to a win and draw/2 draws.


Still, I know that isn't the point of this thread. The point is that is amazing to even be having this conversation in May. Mental.

Newcastle will only have 2 games left to play after tonight (Leicester home & Chelsea away)

 

[Hugo Rune]

No chance. We need 12 from 12 and even then it's hugely unlikely.

Firstly, I think we'd have to overhaul both Newcastle AND Man Utd, because Liverpool are at home to Villa and away to Southampton. I suppose they might drop points against Villa but probably not.

So if we win tonight (and it's a massive if), we'd be 5 behind Man Utd and effectively 5 and a half behind Newcastle with all three clubs having 3 matches to play, and one of ours is Man City.

Put simply, if 2 of the 3 clubs above win 2 of their remaining games, we can't finish 4th. If we don't beat City (or Southampton for that matter!), that requirement drops to a win and draw/2 draws.


Still, I know that isn't the point of this thread. The point is that is amazing to even be having this conversation in May. Mental.

So, after this weekend’s fixtures (including Monday), the table could look like below with the following results:

We beat Toon & Stains
Villa beat Liverpool
Manure draw with Muff
Toon draw with despairing Leicester on Monday

Newcastle P37 Pts 67
Manure P37 Pts 67
Liverpool P37 Pts 65
Good Guys P36 Pts 64

If we then beat Citeh next Thursday, the 4-way for a Champions League spot would be mind blowing on the last day of the season!

 

[Simster]

Liverpool lose to Villa, beat Saints GD stays at +28 = 68pts
Newcastle lose to us, draw v Leicester and Chelsea GD +30 = 68pts
We win 3 games draw the other, adding +9 GD +30 = 68pts (we'd make it on goals scored)

Unlikely but not outrageous either...

No, I'm afraid it is ridiculous. That's why we're about 40/1 to finish top 4.

 

[Crawley Dingo]

Just wanted a big old thread highlighting what an incredible reality this is.

I'd like to think we can take it to the last 3 games, maybe 2 as well, but just in case tonight doesn't go so well I thought I'd stick it here now.

Amazing.

We need a couple of those teams to do a "Tom Kite" if you are familiar with golf.

 

[Acker79]

Looking at the line up and bench, I guess we can all stop these flights of fancy right now.