[Albion] Bad record at home v teams down bottom / relegation zone

[ChickenDipper]

Turns out it’s largely nonsense - this line many of us, including myself, have been trotting out. Against the 3 relegated teams at home, in the last 3 seasons

21/22 - W1 D1 L1
22/23 - W3
23/24 - W1 D2

Won 5/9 (ok)
Lost 1/9 (good)

Maybe we all have been fooled a bit? Not as bad a record as we like to make out?

 

[Bodian]

Turns out it’s largely nonsense - this line many of us, including myself, have been trotting out. Against the 3 relegated teams at home, in the last 3 seasons

21/22 - W1 D1 L1
22/23 - W3
23/24 - W1 D2

Won 5/9 (ok)
Lost 1/9 (good)

Maybe we all have been fooled a bit? Not as bad a record as we like to make out?

Ah - but what about our record against teams who were in the bottom three when we played them? I guess that's how we see it - we give them a lifeline! Eg - Wolves were in the bottom three when we drew against them, but pretty sure they won't get relegated.

 

[Simster]

Turns out it’s largely nonsense - this line many of us, including myself, have been trotting out. Against the 3 relegated teams at home, in the last 3 seasons

21/22 - W1 D1 L1
22/23 - W3
23/24 - W1 D2

Won 5/9 (ok)
Lost 1/9 (good)

Maybe we all have been fooled a bit? Not as bad a record as we like to make out?

Of course it is.

This season we have only dropped unexpected points against Ipswich, Wolves and Forest. With Wolves the game was won but for the debacle at the end, and it turns out Forest aren't actually a lower league team.

 

[ChickenDipper]

Ah - but what about our record against teams who were in the bottom three when we played them? I guess that's how we see it - we give them a lifeline! Eg - Wolves were in the bottom three when we drew against them, but pretty sure they won't get relegated.

Yes the thought crossed my mind too - but that’s way too complicated to work out!

 

[Han Solo]

Depends on where you want to go.

Winning 5 out of 9 home against the bottom 3 isn't good enough for a team that wants CL or EL.

 

[LamieRobertson]

Depends on where you want to go.

Winning 5 out of 9 home against the bottom 3 isn't good enough for a team that wants CL or EL.

Depends on what you do against the rest of the league…and that stat u quoted seemed gd enough to get us into EL

 

[Milano]

You need to win these games so you are not in a must win position when your european rivals, the likes of Villa, Newcastle, West Ham, Man U, Spurs etc. come to the Amex.
Beating City to me means we should be able to afford a draw vs e.g. Villa. But not if we don't beat Soton.
The only result on paper which was really bad this season was Ipswich. Neither Wolves nor Forest can be thought of as 100% home bankers, they felt worse because we led in both games.
Tonight is an absolute must win IMO.

 

[Coldeanseagull]

We should be beating teams like(insert some tinpot club)
cringe

 

[Barham's tash]

I worry that we raise our game against better opposition and tend to struggle with fluidity against lower table teams who tend to deploy the ultra low block away from home. Not navigating a successful tactic against said tactics was RDZs undoing and hopefully it won't be Fab's.

The record is almost irrelevant as for me our performances in terms of free flowing attacking football against these teams tends to dip markedly.

 

[Milano]

We should be beating teams like(insert some tinpot club)
cringe

No one is saying that. What is being said is if we want Europe again then we need to win these games.
No EPL game is easy but some are more winnable than others, this is one of them.
To beat City we needed them to be less than 100% if City were 100% then we lose. It wouldn't matter what we did.
To beat Soton we need to be at 100% if we are 100% then we win. It won't matter what they do.