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Are Brighton an interesting punt to win the Premier League on the handicap?



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Source: Piqsels

12 points from Brighton’s first seven games has got Seagulls fans dreaming of European qualification again under new boss, Fabian Hurzeler. Many Albion supporters feared that the sky would cave in at the Amex Stadium following the mutual exit of Italian boss, Roberto De Zerbi.

The former Sassuolo head coach was a revelation at Brighton, bringing his brave, high-octane style of play to the Premier League and, eventually, the Europa League. De Zerbi’s departure for French Ligue 1 side Marseille in May saw many managers tipped for the Brighton hotseat. Most notably, Ipswich Town boss, Kieran McKenna, who is said to have verbally agreed the move only to have a last-minute change of heart.

Hurzeler has hit the ground running​

Nevertheless, the bold appointment of St. Pauli’s young boss, Hurzeler, appears to be working out for the best. Albion have tasted defeat just once in seven games, averaging almost two goals scored per game in the process. All of which suggests a push for European football in 2025/26 should not be out of the question. In fact, we’re going to go one further and suggest that they’ve got what it takes to win the 2024/25 Premier League.

Hear us out – we don’t mean outright. We’re talking about the points handicap market. The Seagulls are currently priced at 7.50 with NetBet to be considered 2024/25 Premier League champions with 33 points applied to their final points total in May. This is a well-established online sportsbook, so their odds are likely to be competitive. The NetBet brand has also recently expanded into online casino gaming, covering slots and table games, as well as live casino tables. All of which are available to sample on desktop or mobile.

We’re confident Albion can stay in relative touch with the league leaders​


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Source: Piqsels

At present, these odds do feel like great value on Albion. Are the 2024/25 Premier League champions, whoever they may be, likely to finish 33 points better off than Brighton? After seven games, Brighton are six points off the pace of current league leaders, Liverpool. Extrapolate that over a full 38-game season and this would equal a 33-point gap.

However, this is reliant on Liverpool maintaining their fantastic start to the campaign under new boss, Arne Slot. The Reds have won six and lost just one, conceding only two goals in their opening seven matches. In second place, Manchester City are just a point back – five ahead of Brighton – although the fear of a potential points deduction following their ongoing FFP legal case continues to loom large.

Arsenal are also a point back from Liverpool and five clear of Brighton. Many still think they are the ones to beat for the title this season, so if Albion can keep within touching distance of the Gunners, these odds of 7.50 could quickly feel like huge value.

Looking at Brighton’s best ever league finish – 6th in the 2022/23 Premier League – they finished 27 points behind eventual champions, Manchester City. City lost only five games all season in another year of dominance for Pep Guardiola’s men. With the title race expected to be more competitive than ever, it’s hard to see Brighton falling 33 points short of the summit, especially if they can replicate their 2022/23 finish.
 


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