[Football] 40pts Might Not Be Enough This Season

[The Maharajah of Sydney]

Spread Markets expectations show that 40pts might not necessarily be enough to avoid the drop this season.
Cardiff & Huddersfield tailed off, then 5 teams (which include us) all within a point of the 40pt threshold.

 

[spence]

It will be plenty enough

 

[DarrenFreemansPerm]

Good job we’re 3 points better off than this stage last season.

 

[Machiavelli]

Spread Markets expectations show that 40pts might not necessarily be enough to avoid the drop this season.
Cardiff & Huddersfield tailed off, then 5 teams (which include us) all within a point of the 40pt threshold.

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I think that principle that if the bottom two end up with an historically low number of points, it is far more likely that this elevates the points requirement to avoid falling into that final relegation place is sound. I really doubt it'll leave that third-to-bottom team needing 40 points. Is there a spread on points required for survival?

 

[GT49er]

Offer me 40 points now and I'd risk it - any day of the week!

 

[Ernest]

If we went down with 40 points I'd jump NAKED off the I360

 

[Fignon's Ponytail]

Can we get more than 2 games in to the season before worrying about possible relegation??

 

[Bob!]

Good job we’re 3 points better off than this stage last season.

Or 1 point worse off when compared to the same games last season.

 

[Brok]

Off topic a bit, but are we really 18/1 to win tomorrow?
If so I'm having a fiver on that.

 

[dazzer6666]

35/36 will be enough

Hadn't looked at spread betting before. Selling Cardiff at 30.5 looks like a good opportunity.

 

[The Maharajah of Sydney]

I think that principle that if the bottom two end up with an historically low number of points, it is far more likely that this elevates the points requirement to avoid falling into that final relegation place is sound. I really doubt it'll leave that third-to-bottom team needing 40 points. Is there a spread on points required for survival?

Not as such, there is a Relegation Index though.

 

[Birdie Boy]

Can we get more than 2 games in to the season before worrying about possible relegation??

Exactly. What's the spread on European qualification? [emoji3]

 

[TimWatt]

Surely these points ranges aren't probabilistic numbers but market making numbers? So designed to incentivise betting and leave in a margin of error guaranteed to favour the house (on average).

 

[dazzer6666]

Off topic a bit, but are we really 18/1 to win tomorrow?
If so I'm having a fiver on that.

We're as long as 25s with some............

 

[studio150]

Good job we’re 3 points better off than this stage last season.

Or you could look at it as 1 point worse off given that we beat Utd at home last year and drew at Watford last year

 

[Horses Arse]

If we went down with 40 points I'd jump NAKED off the I360

How high up?

Sent from my SM-G950F using Tapatalk

 

[Perkino]

Let's just get to 40 before we worry about it

 

[dazzer6666]

Or you could look at it as 1 point worse off given that we beat Utd at home last year and drew at Watford last year

Or 1 point worse off when compared to the same games last season.

This is the only thing that matters https://nortr3nixy.nimpr.uk/showt...up-tracker-2018-19-Game-1-1-point-below/page6

 

[The Maharajah of Sydney]

35/36 will be enough

Hadn't looked at spread betting before. Selling Cardiff at 30.5 looks like a good opportunity.

Shorting Wolves and West Ham at 45 & 44pts respectively looks attractive too.

 

[Mayonaise]

I think we will do ok this season and maybe just top the 40pt mark.

Either way let's just enjoy it!