Good get out, how about > 4000? You use obfuscation and offence a lot, you know what the confidence level is in that prediction, you have access to the information and can guess some methodology. You'll start saying that you can't predict with certainty that the sun will tise tomorrow morning...
And, as an aside, cold is varey rarely listed as any cause of death, so the data is very likely (certainly?) very much an under-representation of the role of cold. If you combine that with unsatisfactory nutrition then you can confound this if you like.
No, I have provided analysis done by NICE that clearly supports the statement that 1000's will die (or worse, require long-term care). You are trying to make a semantic argument. If I open the throttle on my big bike, it will reach 150 mph - I do not need to test this to see if it is true. I...
I didn't quote you out of context at all. I merely took issue with your argument. For avoidance of any doubt on cold and death, NICE publish evidence and economic analysis on this very topic:
https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng6/documents/excess-winter-deaths-and-illnesses-concept-review2
You...
Cold temperatures are known to cause significant increase in mortality, there is a causal link that is well understood. You don't need an BMBS to know this. While I accept the philosophical premise that we cannot predict the future with certainty, I think @jcdenton is justified to assert that...
Starting from Selsey, that's not to bad :rolleyes:. That whole stretch to Southampton from Chi has been pretty crap for ages now so I've been mostly working from home (and reading NSC to much).
I very much doubt that he would have. I was just pointing out that that this did happen (both here and the USA). People dream up ever more ingenious methods of killing or subjugating one another, it's a shame that these energies can't be put to better use.
Denmark has an interesting co-operative housing scheme. You don't own the house, rather a share in the co-op society and the right to live in one of its properties. It's not cheap to buy into and there is a monthly rental charge (relatively low compared to shared-ownership here) but it does...
How about a college or university? I've been on panels that have appointed at that level and there is actually a reasonable career development path, sometimes good opportunities for specialisation.