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Get your turnips in quickly, build a bunker and stockpile tinfoil.

Two snippets for this morning: 1. Times Radio report that Trump has said 'if Russia doesn't compromise, he'll arm Ukraine to the teeth'. (Let's hope Russia doesn't compromise then). 2. FMCG (fast moving consumer goods - stuff you buy at the supermarket) inflation in Russia in August was 22% -...

But Crimea doesn't belong to the west, so it is not relevant if the west would be prepared to give it up in any peace deal. It belongs to Ukraine. In addition, be careful about offering to give away other countries' territory, based on the ethnic populations. While you may be correct in the...

Yes, that seems to capture the essence of Putin. He isn't going to stop. I remember when Liz Truss went to see Lavrov just before the war, in the hope of preventing the invasion. The headlines were all how Lavrov belittled her (He asked her if the Voronezh and Rostov oblasts should be within...

I've just watched them. It is a bit remiss of me to have been on this forum since near the beginning, and not be aware of this. I have sometimes wondered why Putin behaves in the ways he does; the answers would appear to be in Illyin's works. Putin's thinking often appears to be on tramlines. He...

That's the first time I've heard that. So the peace talks are doomed before they begin? I wonder if Trump and his team are aware of it?

Blimey. Europe is becoming a seething mass of warriors.

There's much to discuss in that. I'll try to address your points in the order you made them. Received wisdom has it that Putin wanted a Trump win, but he endorsed Kamala Harris in the US election. This could have been a bluff of course. Posting old naked pictures on Melania on Russian state TV...

Therefore as discussed earlier, it gives Ukraine more time to destroy more of Russia, and more time for Russia to undergo an economic collapse. Happy days!

That first point jumps off the page at me. How can the peace talks even get off the ground?

Yes. But Lough also says that any negotiations cannot go over the heads of the Ukrainians. Don't get hung up the word 'end'. Lough used the word 'outcome'.

Correction: Outcome 2 is a frozen conflict. Lough subsequently outlines another possible outcome which he thinks is most likely - a negotiated settlement, which the Ukrainians refer to as a 'bad peace'.

John Lough of Chatham House, talking to Jonathan Fink of Silicon Curtain. Lough was asked by the MOD to write a paper on what the end of the war would look like. TLDR (it's a 37 minute watch but it's worth it - he is the real deal): There are four possible outcomes: 1. A long war. 2. A...

Thanks for taking the trouble to do that. This is a long thread, so I wouldn't expect you to know this, but all the Youtubers you mention feature on here. Business Basics less so. For geopolitical analysis, Peter Zeihan and Paul Warburg. Jake Broe for comprehensive round-ups. On Twitter...

I hear Joey Barton is available.

Looks like it was the US who blew up the Nordstream pipeline, to decouple Europe from Russia. Joe Blogs has just published a Joe Biden speech implying it just before the invasion. And we all blamed it on Russia. Top work Joe!

Where has it been more fully reported? I'm not challenging your claim by the way. Far from it. I'm very interested in finding out where else to look for the signs of economic decline in Russia. Let's face it, the Kremlin are not going to accurately broadcast the decline of Russia, so any new...

OK, I understand. It may suit the Kremlin to keep it as rumours. Perhaps the rumours are more damaging than the reality amongst Trump supporters. And they can only release it once.

Depends whether the rumour is true or false. If it's false, how can they release it? They can't, because there's nothing to release. If it is true, then it can be released, so it wasn't just a (false) rumour after all. Allegedly.

I'm certainly not aware of anything that says Russia has real Kompromat on Trump. Only rumours. Allegedly.