Beginning of this month electoral calculus were predicting a 51% chance of Labour winning Clacton with their predicted share being
Labour 40.2 %
Tory 39.7 %
Reform 13.2 %
I think Farage standing eliminates the possibility of a Tory win in that seat
All are good. To my mind Lake District has become too expensive but I've been many times. I'm guessing you are a hiker. There are certainly enough classic hikes in Peak District as well to keep you going - much better value. I've stayed in Betys y Coed which is a good base for Snowdonia