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Toss Up… lots of nervousness here in the States.

Thank the Lord that Trump promises to, once again, surround himself with sycophants geniuses… it is telling how many appointees feel that he is fit to be president.

Looks like the latest poll of polls has an edge for Trumpkin but Harris still has a chance…

Atlas Intel is a Brazilian pollster ranked number one by a Hungarian newspaper (from what I can find)… with all due respect, most pundits in the US look to the neutral data scientists at Nate Silver (and his former 538) … they rate Atlas fairly highly- but 22nd overall…

The current numbers mimic the presidential election. The Republicans have about a 55% of keeping the House and flipping the Senate. (The 2 independent senators “conference with the Democrats” and reliably vote with them) … moderate Americans (I am one) cheer for a split Congress… we don’t mind...

Local newspapers reported that Pennsylvania residents requested 1 Million fewer mail-in ballots this year compared to 2020- making the 400,000 presumed lead comparatively better. But this does not account for many more Trump voters determined to wait until Election Day. (Pray for rain or snow)

Here is the best way to see which candidate has the best chance at victory in the Electoral College. For the super nerds, the US census is every 10 years and we recalibrate the electoral college votes per state based on population shifts (as well as Congressional seats)… back to the paths to...

The Wall Street Journal reported on this a few days ago and said that Rohan offered Harris… but her campaign said they did not have time… yet she found time to do others… Trump was his typical rambling incoherent self- and Rogan did not push back…

In the US, early voting statutes are enacted at the state level. So, we have 50 different sets of laws regulating a) the time period b) the proof of identification and c) the ballot counting process. It’s a mess. Generally speaking, there are a few weeks prior to Election Day when you can vote...

In the US, the media has agreed to not “declare a winner” until after the polls are closed in any particular state. For example, in Pennsylvania, the polls “close” at 8pm- but most counties allow anyone in the line at 8pm to cast their ballot. So- the local polling places don’t submit their...

Here is another frustrating thing about the Harris campaign- she “could not find time to meet with Joe Rogan” who has over 15 million listeners. Instead, she went on the “Call Her Daddy” podcast - that covers sexual relationships… and “All the Smoke” with ex-NBA players. Bizarre strategy! So...

To analyze a candidate’s best path to 270 electoral college votes, we typically start with the last election and then say, “which states can they afford to lose?” And “which states could they possibly gain?” For Kamala Harris, she must hold the “Blue Line” of Wisconsin, Michigan and...

The most accurate aggregator of American political data has been Nate Silver. He sold his polling analytics to ABC News a few years ago… but has reemerged with the Silver Bulletin. Here is a screenshot of his latest swing state data.

Rudy accused two Vote counters of election fraud. (He needed to “name names” in order to make his conspiracy story seem real). These two “average citizens” took Rudy to court and won a massive defamation amount. Rudy declared bankruptcy. The judge seized Rudy’s Manhattan apartment and Mercedes...

The state of Georgia, with a Republican Governor, Sec of State, Attorney General, and Legislature- conducted a massive audit of all 8.2 Million votes in the last election. They found a whopping 20 people illegally Attempted to Vote. 9 were denied and 11 voted. They have all been turned over to...

@Zeberdi I believe the British are far more aware of US politics than we are of yours. Frankly, there is very little interest by 99% of Americans in the affairs of other countries these days. I’d bet that 99% cannot name the leaders of our neighbors Mexico and Canada- much less the leaders of...

The oddsmakers are predicting Harris wins the overall vote but loses in the electoral college… just as Hillary Clinton did- and Al Gore as well… the reaction will be a push by the left to remove the antiquated Electoral College… which would require an amendment to our Constitution… which, in...

@BadFish I may have answered in a different post. But the policies that Trump “wins” more than 50% of the voters are 1. Inflation 2. Economy 3. Taxes 4. Defense/Military 5. Crime Harris does better on 1. Education 2. Environment 3. Abortion Rights

Many of the moderates in the US are likened to a bipolar Goldilocks. They want both lower taxes and deficit reduction. They want immigration under control but cheap labor, too. They want gun control, but would like to keep their hunting rifles. They want Ukraine to win their war, but don’t want...

I saw Phil Lesh play 88 times with the Dead and a few times with various Dead & Co shows. He was formally trained in orchestral music but became a phenomenal bassist for the seminal jam band. Many great memories of his rib-shaking bass playing…