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[Albion] To Avoid Hürzeler Bashing - The Staying Up and Europe Tracker - season 2024-25 Game 26 Update
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
I agree. the way I feel after the last 3 games, we are 99.95% going to make the CL, however before that, I may have been calculating relegation probabilities. (I tend toward the extremes).
the methodology is (explained/made up by chatgpt) in the article.
from the article:
"
The standard positions that earn European places in the Premier League are:
Champions League: Top four
Europa League: Fifth
A second Europa League spot is awarded to the FA Cup winners, and the Carabao Cup winners earn a Europa Conference League play-off spot.
If the FA Cup winners secure European qualification by other means, then the sixth-placed team in the Premier League takes that spot.
Similarly, if the EFL Cup winners earn a European place by another route, then England's Conference League place passes on to the sixth-placed team.
And if both domestic cup winners gain European spots by other means, then the Europa League place goes to the team in sixth, and the Conference League spot to the side in seventh.
"
however I thought there would be 5 CL spots, which might be why they use the word standard in the sentence "The standard positions that earn European places"
8th will most likely mean Europe.
I may have caused confusion here.
I assume our europe tracker is aimed at 7th place/60 pts.
I have muddied the water by putting an article that is only talking about top 4/5 places.
sometimes I am a muddier of waters.
If we don’t make it into Europe we know who to blame
schmunk
Well-used member
FUMMIN
saafend_seagull
Well-known member
Top 5 = CL (this would be certain if Man U beat socieded). 97% chance we have 5, but last year it was also at same percentage and then all teams lost.
Means 6th is Europa.
Then there is a spot for fa cup and league cup winners, and if each of those winners are already in Europe then = top 8 get place in league. And if spurs or Man U win Europa then we will have 9 teams in Europe.
Therefore could easily be top 6 only, Newcastle can easily beat Liverpool and finish 7th. Fa cup too early to tell! Odds on being top 6 are 5.5/1 but would swing massively if we beat Bournemouth who are evens for top 6.
Last edited:
Brian Munich
teH lulZ
- Jul 7, 2008
- 565
It was nothing more than a pipe dream after the Leicester 2-2 apparently, yet here we are still in with a realistic shot if we win the games we should.Patently not true. Loads on here said Europe was ‘gone’ dozens of times
- Jul 6, 2011
- 2,514
Well someone hasn't done their sums right. Palace are Champions League bound this season.
8 points from the next 5 games doesn’t sound as daunting as 6 from the next two
We’ll lose the games we should win…….and win those we’re not supposed to.