The Maharajah of Sydney
Well-known member
5.9% (16/1) after beating Chelsea.
7.7% (12/1) after Liverpool being knocked out.
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[Albion] FA Cup 5th Round draw - Newcastle away
- Thread starter mile oak
- Start date
7.7% (12/1) after Liverpool being knocked out.
oldboyroy
Well-known member
6th favorites after City United Newcastle villa and Bournemouth
Mancgull
Well-known member
United being shorter odds than us is truly stupid.
MattBackHome
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 11,941
Cardiff (Tanner) please god almighty in heaven
They’re the current holders and were just as shit when they won it last year.
saafend_seagull
Well-known member
Man City and Newcastle had league 1 opposition so only fair these two play each other now. Same with palarse and forest.
- Apr 5, 2014
- 27,282
Corrected for you
US Seagull
Well-known member
Us being shorter than Forest, seems a bit daft.
HangletonGull
Well-known member
- Apr 10, 2023
- 2,547
I have no idea I don’t work for Sussex or met police and not in the sag Committee
It's not really. They are the current champions and even though they are shit have managed to win two major cups in the last two seasons.
Peacehaven Wild Kids
Well-known member
We’re through, they’re not (yet). They’ll be shorter than us when they beat Exeter.
Motogull
Todd Warrior
- Sep 16, 2005
- 10,866
Possibly a technicality but they aren't in the next round yet.
Forest have an extra game to navigate and are more likely to have to juggle priorities due to league position
I have had a go at the percent chance of winning.
I have taken the Ladbrokes odds for each team, converted that to a perentage chance then normalised it such that the total is 100%
| Team | Odds | Percent | Normalised |
| Man City | 11/5 | 31.25 | 25.489396 |
| Newcastle | 5 | 16.67 | 13.597064 |
| Man Utd | 6 | 14.29 | 11.655791 |
| Aston Villa | 7 | 12.5 | 10.195759 |
| Bournemouth | 9 | 10 | 8.1566069 |
| Brighton | 11 | 8.33 | 6.7944535 |
| Fulham | 12 | 7.69 | 6.2724307 |
| Notts Forest | 12 | 7.69 | 6.2724307 |
| Palarse | 18 | 5.26 | 4.2903752 |
| Wolves | 33 | 2.94 | 2.3980424 |
| Ipswich | 50 | 1.96 | 1.5986949 |
| Burnley | 80 | 1.23 | 1.0032626 |
| Millwall | 100 | 0.99 | 0.8075041 |
| Cardiff | 200 | 0.5 | 0.4078303 |
| Plymouth | 200 | 0.5 | 0.4078303 |
| Preston | 200 | 0.5 | 0.4078303 |
| Exeter | 500 | 0.2 | 0.1631321 |
| Doncaster | 1000 | 0.1 | 0.0815661 |
122.6 | 100 |
Milano
Well-known member
As important as us getting a kind draw in the 5th round I really want City v Villa, Newcastle v Forest, Wolves v Fulham and Bournemouth v Man U or a mixture of that.
Gazwag
5 millionth post poster
You missed a bit
Doncaster
ITU
Undertakers
Cave at Church of the Holy Sepulchre, Jerusalem
Doncaster
Southampton
You’re right. They have the experience and nous in competitions like this. I guess it’s why I’d like to get them or City or Newcastle out of the way now. I’d rather that than play them in the semis or final (although it’s a big ask to get that far.)
Would love a trip to Home Park though. Even though it would be a game I’d want to win and not want to win at the same time.
Tony Le Mesmer
Well-known member
We won in the League cup there a few seasons ago. Moder's only goal for the club. Prior to that not amazing recently in the league but notable away wins in the Championship (2011 and 2013?).
Can't remember when we last beat Preston away.
- Apr 5, 2014
- 27,282
When you get to my age you will certainly be in the Sag committee. As well as the SAGA committee. A SAGA lout.