Think these places with 3% counted are nonsense. Not moving markets
[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*
- Thread starter Zeberdi
- Start date
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Somethiing has just changed with Pennsylvania.
CNN are on an ad break so I'm not sure what.
CNN are on an ad break so I'm not sure what.
Very early.
“By law, Georgia has to count its early votes – all four million of them - by 20:00 EST (01:00 GMT), and the results are already rolling in, showing an early lead for Donald Trump.
We should be careful of reading anything into that at this stage. Small rural counties, the kinds of places likely to have strong Republican majorities, can count faster than big urban ones that are likely to lean Democratic. “
aftershavedave
Well-known member
This is key: small rural places count quicker, and like in the UK, they are more conservative.“
By law, Georgia has to count its early votes – all four million of them - by 20:00 EST (01:00 GMT), and the results are already rolling in, showing an early lead for Donald Trump.
We should be careful of reading anything into that at this stage. Small rural counties, the kinds of places likely to have strong Republican majorities, can count faster than big urban ones that are likely to lean Democratic. “
CNN "no surprises so far"
Trump claiming “massive cheating” in Pennsylvania….surely this is a good sign?
US Seagull
Well-known member
This is causing me massive stress.
- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,813
- Thread starter
- #8,651
Too early to tell.
Exit polls:
* Harris wins 55% of women voters in Pennsylvania; Trump wins 43%.
* Trump wins 54% of white voters in Pennsylvania; Harris wins 44%.
* Trump wins 58% of white men voters in Pennsylvania; Harris wins 40%.
* Harris wins 48% of white women voters in Pennsylvania; Trump wins 50%.
Don’t forget though, PA doesn’t count it’s mail in ballots and absentee ballots until tomorrow and these tend to favour Democrats.
NC
The Dems have voted in a Democratic Governor (largely because of the Republican’s comments on a porn site 10 years ago comparing himself to a ‘black nazi’ apparently which came to light recently) but far too early to predict the top of the ticket.
Feel for you. I feel stressed and I’m thousands of miles away!
Harris takes Illinois. That’s a big one to steal.
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- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,813
- Thread starter
- #8,655
Are those who have been so confident in betting on Harris as a likely win in recent days on this thread still so confident?
If so, could do with you spreading that around a bit right now because I am very low on the mojometer at the moment - gut feeling this really will go down to the line in a very narrow victory for Harris or Trump will win comfortably
If so, could do with you spreading that around a bit right now because I am very low on the mojometer at the moment - gut feeling this really will go down to the line in a very narrow victory for Harris or Trump will win comfortably
How much has Trump paid you for this information blackout?
- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,813
- Thread starter
- #8,657
Expected win though - Biden won Illinois by 17 points in 2020.
Sorry, must stop being negative
According to Guardian, no republican has won Illinois since 1988Expected win though - Biden won Illinois by 17 points in 2020.
Sorry, must stop being negative
Biden carried it.
Mildly less confident. But hold the nerve.Are those who have been so confident in betting on Harris as a likely win in recent days on this thread still so confident?
If so, could do with you spreading that around a bit right now because I am very low on the mojometer at the moment - gut feeling this really will go down to the line in a very narrow victory for Harris or Trump will win comfortably
US Seagull
Well-known member
I do think I remember 2020 looking pretty bleak early on to.
But maybe I'm just trying to make myself feel better.