McGee's profile and why, maybe, he should be replaced

[Brighton TID]

Mcgee's profile (played, won, drawn, lost, %wins)

Brighton: 28-10-2003 to Present: 114 , 34, 47, 33, 30%
Millwall: 25-09-2000 to 15-10-2003: 163, 75, 49, 39, 46%
Wolves 13-12-1995 to 05-11-1998: 159, 65, 55, 39, 41%
Leicester 14-12-1994 to 07-12-1995: 51, 16, 21, 14, 31%
Reading 10-05-1991 to 14-12-1994: 183, 79, 53, 51, 43%

(source: soccerbase.com)


The way i read these stats is that we have only a 30% chance of winning each match we play. that's just not good enough in my opinion even given our present squad limitations.

 

[brighton rock]

sack him

 

[BensGrandad]

Using those calculations and statistics 30 % of the points still available will not be enough to keep us up.

 

[NMH]

A reasonable record, and it's getting spoiled by these Brighton under-achievers

 

[Beach Hut]

Using those calculations and statistics 30 % of the points still available will not be enough to keep us up.

You know when I feel down I read a few of your posts life somehow seems so much better then.

 

[Ernest]

You know when I feel down I read a few of your posts life somehow seems so much better then.

when I read a few of your posts it makes me feel like topping myself

 

[Shropshire Seagull]

30% win-rate - well that means we win almost 1 in 3 games !
What's all this tosh about us only winning four games this season then ....

 

[BensGrandad]

statistics can be manipulated as you want like the 20 %of accidents are caused by drunk drivers that means 80% are caused by sober drivers.

But it is fact that 30% of outstanding points wuill not be sufficient so we need to improve greatly. The big question is how

 

[pasty]

statistics can be manipulated as you want like the 20 %of accidents are caused by drunk drivers that means 80% are caused by sober drivers.

But it is fact that 30% of outstanding points wuill not be sufficient so we need to improve greatly. The big question is how

Indeed, you can read anything into stats. From the same numbers quoted above, McGhee has a loss ratio of 28.9% which means we are only going to lose 5 more games this season.

 

[Dover]

Something about lies, dammmed lies and statistics come to mind.

 

[Roger Mellie]

when I read a few of your posts it makes me feel like topping myself

Spoil yerself and read a few more

 

[BensGrandad]

Indeed, you can read anything into stats. From the same numbers quoted above, McGhee has a loss ratio of 28.9% which means we are only going to lose 5 more games this season.

Assuming that is right if the remainder are all draws we then come back to the same problem relegation.

The cause- not scoring enough goals- conceeding too many goals. Take your choice.

 

[Shropshire Seagull]

Assuming that is right if the remainder are all draws we then come back to the same problem relegation.

The cause- not scoring enough goals- conceeding too many goals. Take your choice.

Can I choose the blue one please.

 

[pasty]

Okay, I'm reeeeaaaaaly bored..........so

From 114 games
34 won = 29.8%
47 drawn = 41.2%
33 lost = 29%

From 18 remaining games
29.8% = 5.4 wins = 15 points
41.2% = 7.4 draws = 7 points
29% = 5.2 defeats

22 points + current 25 = 47 points.

Enough to stay up ? Close call.

 

[HampshireSeagulls]

So - we have a 30% chance of winning each match? We also, presumably, have a 30% chance of drawing, and a 30% chance of losing each match. That's 90%. The other 10% accounts for matches rained off, snowed off, or cancelled for international weekends - or the matches when aliens come down and abduct us, or Russian millionaires buy us all out.

I can live with winning 1 in 3.

 

[BensGrandad]

It is usually accepted that we need at least 50 points to stay up but because the bottom of the division is so tight at the moment 50 may not be enough.

 

[BensGrandad]

We need at least 1 win and 1 draw per 3 games = 24 points plus an extra unexpected win=27 points +25 =52

 

[pasty]

We need at least 1 win and 1 draw per 3 games = 24 points plus an extra unexpected win=27 points +25 =52

Cool. So here is how we stay up then

Leeds H Draw
Sheff U A Lose
Burnley H Win

Coventry A Draw
Leicester H Win
Norwich A Lose

Watford H Lose
Crewe A Win
Plymouth A Draw

Preston H **unexpected win**
QPR A Draw
Luton H Win

Millwall A Win
Southampton H Draw
Ipswich A Lose

Sheff W H Win
Wolves A Lose
Stoke H Draw

 

[Bigtomfu]

You could also read those stats to say that at every club he has managed he has won more games than he's lost.


However i still think it might be time to say sling your hook.

 

[sams dad]

Cool. So here is how we stay up then

Leeds H Draw
Sheff U A Lose
Burnley H Win

Coventry A Draw
Leicester H Win
Norwich A Lose

Watford H Lose
Crewe A Win
Plymouth A Draw

Preston H **unexpected win**
QPR A Draw
Luton H Win

Millwall A Win
Southampton H Draw
Ipswich A Lose

Sheff W H Win
Wolves A Lose
Stoke H Draw

When you put it like that,it looks piss-easy