Facts: for the remainder of this season

[kingcole]

The following is definitely stating the obvious, and for many, may seem far to simplistic, however:-

We have 18 games left.

If we lose them all, we will be relegated.
If we win 9 of them, we will make the play offs
If we win 14 of them, we will get promoted automatically
If we win 16 of them, we will win the league (as long as one of those wins is against Cardiff)
If we lose or draw to Cardiff, but will the remaining 17 games, we will also win the league.

The above assumes, we will draw one third of the games we don't win.

 

[Reinelt12]

The following is definitely stating the obvious, and for many, may seem far to simplistic, however:-

We have 18 games left.

If we lose them all, we will be relegated.
If we win 8 of them, we will make the play offs
If we win 14 of them, we will get promoted automatically
If we win 16 of them, we will win the league (as long as one of those wins is against Cardiff)
If we lose or draw to Cardiff, but will the remaining 17 games, we will also win the league.

The above assumes, we will draw one third of the games we don't win.

No chance will we get into the playoffs with 8 wins and 3-4 draws (a third of the remaining games) - thatll be 28 extra points which puts us on 70 which isn't nearly enough

 

[Vegas Seagull]

Your livelihood doesn't depend on statistical accuracy I hope

 

[kingcole]

No chance will we get into the playoffs with 8 wins and 3-4 draws (a third of the remaining games) - thatll be 28 extra points which puts us on 70 which isn't nearly enough

Genuine Typo - Was meant to read 9, which would leave us on 73 points, which I believe will be enough this year.

 

[Brian Fantana]

I reckon we need at least 10 wins to be in with a shout of the Play-offs.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Genuine Typo - Was meant to read 9, which would leave us on 73 points, which I believe will be enough this year.

9 home wins then

 

[matt]

So, are these "FACTS" or "which I believe will be"?

 

[Bakero]

If we win 9 of them, we will make the play offs

The above assumes, we will draw one third of the games we don't win.

Will 72 points be enough for the play-offs? (assuming my maths is right-we've got 42 points I think)

 

[Rugrat]

I can't see the play offs with anything less than 75 points, maybe 76/77

 

[Triggaaar]

Will 72 points be enough for the play-offs? (assuming my maths is right-we've got 42 points I think)

If Middlesbrough continue as they have (same points per game average), they'll be on 77.

 

[saafend_seagull]

One of the worst threads in NSC history.

Only FACT about this thread is that the whole thread is SH*T.

 

[Bakero]

08/09 - 74
09/10 - 70
10/11 - 75
11/12 - 75

These were the point totals that achieved 6th place in the last few years.

 

[Rugrat]

One of the worst threads in NSC history.

Only FACT about this thread is that the whole thread is SH*T.

 

[Bakero]

04/05 - 73
05/06 - 75
06/07 - 75
08/09 - 70

 

[Rich Suvner]

One of the worst threads in NSC history.

Only FACT about this thread is that the whole thread is SH*T.

Which game hasn't been rescheduled? Only 17 games listed in fixtures list.

 

[Ⓩ-Ⓐ-Ⓜ-Ⓞ-Ⓡ-Ⓐ]

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

If we can get 9 points from the next 3 it will look more do-able.

Massive games.

 

[brightonrock]

08/09 - 74
09/10 - 70
10/11 - 75
11/12 - 75

These were the point totals that achieved 6th place in the last few years.

What was enough for 7th? We only have to beat 7th by a point, not 6th.

 

[The Large One]

For those saying it's 74 matches since we've come from behind to win - it's really 35. You can't count games where we go ahead first.

35 is still bad enough, mind.

 

[Bakero]

What was enough for 7th? We only have to beat 7th by a point, not 6th.

Not sure but this shows what it usually takes to get 6th place.