50 million to one ?

[£1.99]

The odds for this.
US housewife has children on 10.10.10, 09.09.09 and 08.08.08 - Telegraph

If only they had put a pound on it.

 

[the slow norris]

The odds for this.
US housewife has children on 10.10.10, 09.09.09 and 08.08.08 - Telegraph

If only they had put a pound on it.

surely though those aren't the "real" odds. What I mean is, if the date that you gave birth on was completely random, then yes, odds are high.

But you can manipulate the dates you give birth on. So if I wanted a child to be born on 10/10/10, then I'd try and conceive on 10/1/10. Now considering you're considered full term 4 weeks pre and 2 weeks post, the window you're actually going to give birth on is reduced to a window of 54 days. So odds should be 54*54*54/1. Am I missing something?

 

[Lady Whistledown]

There was a couple in the Argus today whose three children (aged, I think, 1 week, 3 years and five years) all have birthdays on the same date, think it was 7th October.

Going to get expensive in years to come....

 

[Papak]

Terrible journalism and use of statistics imo.

I expect more from the Torygraph

 

[Nottseagull]

What is worth a bet is that the third child was planned to appear on that particular day.

 

[Triggaaar]

Now considering you're considered full term 4 weeks pre and 2 weeks post, the window you're actually going to give birth on is reduced to a window of 54 days. So odds should be 54*54*54/1. Am I missing something?

No

What is worth a bet is that the third child was planned to appear on that particular day.

And delivered by C section 2 weeks early.

 

[Mtoto]

Perfect example of a hack picking a number out of thin air where probability is concerned. Your calculation is much closer, and then you have to factor in that last one is clearly related to previous two. Can't just multiply it out.

 

[Art Vs Science]

Was there not not lady on the local news this week that has just had a 3rd child and they have all been born on the 7th October........that must be long odds

 

[glasfryn]

time of the conceptions must have been hectic