Do we know if the UK is adding in the care home previous 'backlog' figures all at once ?
In which case we expect a sudden massive increase in the total ?
The article I read :
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-tbvaccine-explaine-idUSKBN21K372
There are many similar articles.
At least scientists are actively investigating.
It is not the calendar date, but the date relative to the xth death ( 10th, 20th etc. ) which is the issue.
Ireland went into lockdown much earlier than us on this metric, and are reaping the benefits. Ukraine locked down harsher than us on about the same calendar date, but after only 2/3...
We went with lockdown 2 weeks too late, after herd immunity had beguiled us to take our eyes off the ball.
We needed to have shut down large scale events earlier also.
There are other failures which will come out in the public inquiry of course. Manufacturing should have been repurposed for...
I don't think death rates are predicted to come down this week. An optimistic guess of when the peak will be is Friday April 17th, so I expect around 2 more weeks of 900+ per day, hopefully not much higher.
Easing the lockdown will prolong this, of course.